Recent model runs and observational trends indicate a cooling shift overnight, with northwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating in Warsaw on September 10. This positions 19°C as the leading outcome at 43% implied probability, followed closely by 20°C at 28%, reflecting minor forecast spreads in maximum solar insolation and any light showers. Official guidance from European and global ensembles shows afternoon peaks clustered between 18–20°C amid a post-summer pattern, well below the recent 28°C+ readings. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of deterministic and ensemble solutions, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any precipitation and boundary-layer mixing before the next model update.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月10日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
9月10日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
19°C 43%
20°C 30%
18°C 18%
21°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/09/10
15℃以下
1%
16℃
2%
17℃
3%
18°C
18%
19°C
43%
20°C
30%
21°C
7%
22℃
2%
23℃
1%
24℃
<1%
25℃以上
<1%
19°C 43%
20°C 30%
18°C 18%
21°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/09/10
15℃以下
$101 Vol.
1%
16℃
$15 Vol.
2%
17℃
$25 Vol.
3%
18°C
$1,074 Vol.
18%
19°C
$1,062 Vol.
43%
20°C
$1,042 Vol.
30%
21°C
$856 Vol.
7%
22℃
$125 Vol.
2%
23℃
$115 Vol.
1%
24℃
$197 Vol.
<1%
25℃以上
$372 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs and observational trends indicate a cooling shift overnight, with northwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating in Warsaw on September 10. This positions 19°C as the leading outcome at 43% implied probability, followed closely by 20°C at 28%, reflecting minor forecast spreads in maximum solar insolation and any light showers. Official guidance from European and global ensembles shows afternoon peaks clustered between 18–20°C amid a post-summer pattern, well below the recent 28°C+ readings. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of deterministic and ensemble solutions, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any precipitation and boundary-layer mixing before the next model update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$4,985終了日
2026/09/10マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs and observational trends indicate a cooling shift overnight, with northwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating in Warsaw on September 10. This positions 19°C as the leading outcome at 43% implied probability, followed closely by 20°C at 28%, reflecting minor forecast spreads in maximum solar insolation and any light showers. Official guidance from European and global ensembles shows afternoon peaks clustered between 18–20°C amid a post-summer pattern, well below the recent 28°C+ readings. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of deterministic and ensemble solutions, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any precipitation and boundary-layer mixing before the next model update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$4,985終了日
2026/09/10マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent model runs and observational trends indicate a cooling shift overnight, with northwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating in Warsaw on September 10. This positions 19°C as the leading outcome at 43% implied probability, followed closely by 20°C at 28%, reflecting minor forecast spreads in maximum solar insolation and any light showers. Official guidance from European and global ensembles shows afternoon peaks clustered between 18–20°C amid a post-summer pattern, well below the recent 28°C+ readings. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of deterministic and ensemble solutions, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any precipitation and boundary-layer mixing before the next model update.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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