Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models show a cold air intrusion triggering a sharp temperature drop across the Sichuan Basin, with persistent cloud cover, northerly winds of 4–6 levels, and widespread rain limiting daytime heating on September 10. This frontal passage is expected to cap maximum temperatures near 21–23 °C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes, after earlier highs exceeded 33 °C. Ensemble guidance indicates modest spread due to variable rainfall timing and boundary-layer moisture, but the overall pattern favors suppressed afternoon peaks relative to seasonal norms. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine exact maxima ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月10日の成都の最高気温は?
22℃ 26%
23℃ 23%
21°C 21%
25℃ 13%
18℃以下
3%
19°C
6%
20°C
10%
21°C
19%
22℃
26%
23℃
23%
24°C
12%
25℃
13%
26℃
5%
27°C
3%
28℃以上
<1%
22℃ 26%
23℃ 23%
21°C 21%
25℃ 13%
18℃以下
3%
19°C
6%
20°C
10%
21°C
19%
22℃
26%
23℃
23%
24°C
12%
25℃
13%
26℃
5%
27°C
3%
28℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models show a cold air intrusion triggering a sharp temperature drop across the Sichuan Basin, with persistent cloud cover, northerly winds of 4–6 levels, and widespread rain limiting daytime heating on September 10. This frontal passage is expected to cap maximum temperatures near 21–23 °C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes, after earlier highs exceeded 33 °C. Ensemble guidance indicates modest spread due to variable rainfall timing and boundary-layer moisture, but the overall pattern favors suppressed afternoon peaks relative to seasonal norms. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine exact maxima ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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