Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Sao Paulo's overnight low on September 12 will likely settle between 13–17°C amid widespread cloud cover, light rain, and moderate southeasterly winds that reduce radiative cooling under a building high-pressure ridge. These conditions, following a period of warmer daytime highs near 22–25°C, have kept trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered around 15–17°C because small variations in cloud thickness, precipitation timing, or local station microclimates can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September lows average near 12–14°C, but current moisture and wind patterns support a milder outcome while leaving room for downward revisions if clearer skies develop later tonight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月12日のサンパウロの最低気温は?
12°C以下 98%
13℃ 90%
14℃ 90%
16℃ 51%
$315 Vol.
$315 Vol.
12°C以下
98%
13℃
90%
14℃
90%
15°C
50%
16℃
51%
17°C
51%
18°C
<1%
19℃
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
<1%
22°C以上
<1%
12°C以下 98%
13℃ 90%
14℃ 90%
16℃ 51%
$315 Vol.
$315 Vol.
12°C以下
98%
13℃
90%
14℃
90%
15°C
50%
16℃
51%
17°C
51%
18°C
<1%
19℃
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
<1%
22°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 10, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Sao Paulo's overnight low on September 12 will likely settle between 13–17°C amid widespread cloud cover, light rain, and moderate southeasterly winds that reduce radiative cooling under a building high-pressure ridge. These conditions, following a period of warmer daytime highs near 22–25°C, have kept trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered around 15–17°C because small variations in cloud thickness, precipitation timing, or local station microclimates can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September lows average near 12–14°C, but current moisture and wind patterns support a milder outcome while leaving room for downward revisions if clearer skies develop later tonight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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