Trader consensus favors the 56-57°F range for San Francisco’s lowest temperature on September 14, driven by National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble forecasts showing a persistent marine layer and onshore flow that typically caps coastal nighttime cooling in mid-September. These conditions limit warming potential above 60°F while making sub-50°F readings improbable absent a strong cold-air intrusion, which current model guidance does not support. Historical climatology places average September lows near 55°F, aligning with the market’s clustering around the mid-50s. Fresh model runs and any shifts in the marine inversion strength tomorrow will provide the key updates ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日のサンフランシスコの最低気温は？
9月14日のサンフランシスコの最低気温は？
47°F以下 63%
56〜57°F 57%
華氏66度以上 51%
50～51°F 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
47°F以下
63%
48〜49°F
17%
50～51°F
39%
52～53°F
39%
54～55°F
29%
56〜57°F
47%
58〜59°F
22%
60～61°F
39%
62〜63°F
18%
64～65°F
17%
華氏66度以上
51%
47°F以下 63%
56〜57°F 57%
華氏66度以上 51%
50～51°F 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
47°F以下
$0 Vol.
63%
48〜49°F
$0 Vol.
17%
50～51°F
$0 Vol.
39%
52～53°F
$0 Vol.
39%
54～55°F
$0 Vol.
29%
56〜57°F
$121 Vol.
47%
58〜59°F
$50 Vol.
22%
60～61°F
$0 Vol.
39%
62〜63°F
$0 Vol.
18%
64～65°F
$0 Vol.
17%
華氏66度以上
$0 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors the 56-57°F range for San Francisco’s lowest temperature on September 14, driven by National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble forecasts showing a persistent marine layer and onshore flow that typically caps coastal nighttime cooling in mid-September. These conditions limit warming potential above 60°F while making sub-50°F readings improbable absent a strong cold-air intrusion, which current model guidance does not support. Historical climatology places average September lows near 55°F, aligning with the market’s clustering around the mid-50s. Fresh model runs and any shifts in the marine inversion strength tomorrow will provide the key updates ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 12, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
音量
$171終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 7:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors the 56-57°F range for San Francisco’s lowest temperature on September 14, driven by National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble forecasts showing a persistent marine layer and onshore flow that typically caps coastal nighttime cooling in mid-September. These conditions limit warming potential above 60°F while making sub-50°F readings improbable absent a strong cold-air intrusion, which current model guidance does not support. Historical climatology places average September lows near 55°F, aligning with the market’s clustering around the mid-50s. Fresh model runs and any shifts in the marine inversion strength tomorrow will provide the key updates ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$171終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 7:29 AM ETTrader consensus favors the 56-57°F range for San Francisco’s lowest temperature on September 14, driven by National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble forecasts showing a persistent marine layer and onshore flow that typically caps coastal nighttime cooling in mid-September. These conditions limit warming potential above 60°F while making sub-50°F readings improbable absent a strong cold-air intrusion, which current model guidance does not support. Historical climatology places average September lows near 55°F, aligning with the market’s clustering around the mid-50s. Fresh model runs and any shifts in the marine inversion strength tomorrow will provide the key updates ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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