Forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS runs indicate a highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 13 near 20–21°C, driven by persistent westerly flow from the Atlantic, extensive cloud cover, and periods of light rain that limit daytime heating. These conditions suppress the typical late-summer peak, aligning closely with the 19.5°C historical average high while steering clear of stronger ridging that could push readings higher. Minor disagreements among models center on the timing and intensity of any afternoon clearing or showers, which could shift the daily maximum by 1°C. With leading market-implied odds nearly even between 20°C and 21°C, traders are pricing in this narrow uncertainty range ahead of final observational data from Schiphol.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日のアムステルダムの最高気温は？
9月13日のアムステルダムの最高気温は？
21℃ 46%
20°C 42%
19°C 7%
22℃ 6%
新規
$10,829 Vol.
新規
$10,829 Vol.
2026/09/13
14℃以下
<1%
15℃
<1%
16℃
<1%
17℃
<1%
18℃
<1%
19°C
7%
20°C
42%
21℃
46%
22℃
6%
23°C
<1%
24°C以上
<1%
21℃ 46%
20°C 42%
19°C 7%
22℃ 6%
新規
$10,829 Vol.
新規
$10,829 Vol.
2026/09/13
14℃以下
$137 Vol.
<1%
15℃
$121 Vol.
<1%
16℃
$887 Vol.
<1%
17℃
$25 Vol.
<1%
18℃
$219 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,433 Vol.
7%
20°C
$2,808 Vol.
42%
21℃
$2,648 Vol.
46%
22℃
$1,610 Vol.
6%
23°C
$419 Vol.
<1%
24°C以上
$524 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS runs indicate a highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 13 near 20–21°C, driven by persistent westerly flow from the Atlantic, extensive cloud cover, and periods of light rain that limit daytime heating. These conditions suppress the typical late-summer peak, aligning closely with the 19.5°C historical average high while steering clear of stronger ridging that could push readings higher. Minor disagreements among models center on the timing and intensity of any afternoon clearing or showers, which could shift the daily maximum by 1°C. With leading market-implied odds nearly even between 20°C and 21°C, traders are pricing in this narrow uncertainty range ahead of final observational data from Schiphol.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$10,829終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS runs indicate a highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 13 near 20–21°C, driven by persistent westerly flow from the Atlantic, extensive cloud cover, and periods of light rain that limit daytime heating. These conditions suppress the typical late-summer peak, aligning closely with the 19.5°C historical average high while steering clear of stronger ridging that could push readings higher. Minor disagreements among models center on the timing and intensity of any afternoon clearing or showers, which could shift the daily maximum by 1°C. With leading market-implied odds nearly even between 20°C and 21°C, traders are pricing in this narrow uncertainty range ahead of final observational data from Schiphol.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$10,829終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETForecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS runs indicate a highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 13 near 20–21°C, driven by persistent westerly flow from the Atlantic, extensive cloud cover, and periods of light rain that limit daytime heating. These conditions suppress the typical late-summer peak, aligning closely with the 19.5°C historical average high while steering clear of stronger ridging that could push readings higher. Minor disagreements among models center on the timing and intensity of any afternoon clearing or showers, which could shift the daily maximum by 1°C. With leading market-implied odds nearly even between 20°C and 21°C, traders are pricing in this narrow uncertainty range ahead of final observational data from Schiphol.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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