Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources converge on a high near 100°F for Dallas on September 14 under clear skies, southerly winds of 5-15 mph, and dew points supporting heat indices above 105°F. This setup favors the market's leading 98-99°F bin at 56% implied probability, with the 100-101°F outcome at 34.5% reflecting minor upside potential from peak solar heating and limited mixing. Persistent subtropical high pressure and the absence of a frontal passage keep temperatures well above the 1991-2020 September 14 average of 90°F, though model consensus shows little risk of exceeding 101°F given stable steering patterns. Updated National Weather Service guidance and afternoon observations on the 13th will provide the final calibration before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日のダラスの最高気温は？
9月14日のダラスの最高気温は？
98〜99°F 57%
100～101°F 33%
96〜97°F 6%
102〜103°F 5%
新規
$10,770 Vol.
新規
$10,770 Vol.
2026/09/14
91°F以下
<1%
92〜93°F
<1%
94～95°F
2%
96〜97°F
6%
98〜99°F
57%
100～101°F
33%
102〜103°F
5%
104～105°F
2%
106～107°F
1%
108～109°F
<1%
110°F以上
<1%
98〜99°F 57%
100～101°F 33%
96〜97°F 6%
102〜103°F 5%
新規
$10,770 Vol.
新規
$10,770 Vol.
2026/09/14
91°F以下
$541 Vol.
<1%
92〜93°F
$901 Vol.
<1%
94～95°F
$521 Vol.
2%
96〜97°F
$697 Vol.
6%
98〜99°F
$2,312 Vol.
57%
100～101°F
$2,836 Vol.
33%
102〜103°F
$500 Vol.
5%
104～105°F
$519 Vol.
2%
106～107°F
$963 Vol.
1%
108～109°F
$746 Vol.
<1%
110°F以上
$233 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources converge on a high near 100°F for Dallas on September 14 under clear skies, southerly winds of 5-15 mph, and dew points supporting heat indices above 105°F. This setup favors the market's leading 98-99°F bin at 56% implied probability, with the 100-101°F outcome at 34.5% reflecting minor upside potential from peak solar heating and limited mixing. Persistent subtropical high pressure and the absence of a frontal passage keep temperatures well above the 1991-2020 September 14 average of 90°F, though model consensus shows little risk of exceeding 101°F given stable steering patterns. Updated National Weather Service guidance and afternoon observations on the 13th will provide the final calibration before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
音量
$10,770終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources converge on a high near 100°F for Dallas on September 14 under clear skies, southerly winds of 5-15 mph, and dew points supporting heat indices above 105°F. This setup favors the market's leading 98-99°F bin at 56% implied probability, with the 100-101°F outcome at 34.5% reflecting minor upside potential from peak solar heating and limited mixing. Persistent subtropical high pressure and the absence of a frontal passage keep temperatures well above the 1991-2020 September 14 average of 90°F, though model consensus shows little risk of exceeding 101°F given stable steering patterns. Updated National Weather Service guidance and afternoon observations on the 13th will provide the final calibration before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$10,770終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ETForecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources converge on a high near 100°F for Dallas on September 14 under clear skies, southerly winds of 5-15 mph, and dew points supporting heat indices above 105°F. This setup favors the market's leading 98-99°F bin at 56% implied probability, with the 100-101°F outcome at 34.5% reflecting minor upside potential from peak solar heating and limited mixing. Persistent subtropical high pressure and the absence of a frontal passage keep temperatures well above the 1991-2020 September 14 average of 90°F, though model consensus shows little risk of exceeding 101°F given stable steering patterns. Updated National Weather Service guidance and afternoon observations on the 13th will provide the final calibration before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問