Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Los Angeles on September 14 projects a high in the upper 70s to mid-80s, with trader-implied probabilities clustered across 78–86°F bins reflecting uncertainty in marine layer depth and afternoon clearing. Onshore flow and a persistent marine layer typical of early September often cap daytime heating near the coast, while stronger diurnal warming inland or earlier fog dissipation could push readings toward 84–86°F. Ensemble spreads arise from variations in low-level moisture, wind speed, and subsidence strength, with historical September 14 averages near 76°F providing baseline context. Updated model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the maximum temperature range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日のロサンゼルスの最高気温は？
9月14日のロサンゼルスの最高気温は？
80〜81°F 40%
82～83°F 39%
78～79°F 34%
84～85°F 25%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
67°F以下
8%
68〜69°F
9%
70〜71°F
15%
72～73°F
15%
74〜75°F
16%
76～77°F
22%
78～79°F
28%
80〜81°F
40%
82～83°F
39%
84～85°F
25%
86°F以上
19%
80〜81°F 40%
82～83°F 39%
78～79°F 34%
84～85°F 25%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
67°F以下
$0 Vol.
8%
68〜69°F
$0 Vol.
9%
70〜71°F
$0 Vol.
15%
72～73°F
$0 Vol.
15%
74〜75°F
$0 Vol.
16%
76～77°F
$0 Vol.
22%
78～79°F
$206 Vol.
28%
80〜81°F
$0 Vol.
40%
82～83°F
$0 Vol.
39%
84～85°F
$0 Vol.
25%
86°F以上
$0 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Los Angeles on September 14 projects a high in the upper 70s to mid-80s, with trader-implied probabilities clustered across 78–86°F bins reflecting uncertainty in marine layer depth and afternoon clearing. Onshore flow and a persistent marine layer typical of early September often cap daytime heating near the coast, while stronger diurnal warming inland or earlier fog dissipation could push readings toward 84–86°F. Ensemble spreads arise from variations in low-level moisture, wind speed, and subsidence strength, with historical September 14 averages near 76°F providing baseline context. Updated model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the maximum temperature range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 12, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
音量
$206終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 7:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Los Angeles on September 14 projects a high in the upper 70s to mid-80s, with trader-implied probabilities clustered across 78–86°F bins reflecting uncertainty in marine layer depth and afternoon clearing. Onshore flow and a persistent marine layer typical of early September often cap daytime heating near the coast, while stronger diurnal warming inland or earlier fog dissipation could push readings toward 84–86°F. Ensemble spreads arise from variations in low-level moisture, wind speed, and subsidence strength, with historical September 14 averages near 76°F providing baseline context. Updated model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the maximum temperature range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$206終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 7:56 AM ETCurrent National Weather Service and model guidance for Los Angeles on September 14 projects a high in the upper 70s to mid-80s, with trader-implied probabilities clustered across 78–86°F bins reflecting uncertainty in marine layer depth and afternoon clearing. Onshore flow and a persistent marine layer typical of early September often cap daytime heating near the coast, while stronger diurnal warming inland or earlier fog dissipation could push readings toward 84–86°F. Ensemble spreads arise from variations in low-level moisture, wind speed, and subsidence strength, with historical September 14 averages near 76°F providing baseline context. Updated model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the maximum temperature range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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