Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai's September 12 high will likely peak near 29°C under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and low precipitation chances, supporting the narrow market edge for that outcome over 28°C. Current conditions feature stable high pressure and moderate humidity levels typical for early autumn, with daytime heating expected to reach the upper 20s Celsius before evening cooling. Historical September averages hover around 27°C, but recent dry patterns have supported slightly warmer peaks. Final resolution depends on official station readings, with the tight 46.5%–38% split reflecting genuine uncertainty in afternoon maximum timing and any late cloud development.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月12日の上海の最高気温は?
29℃ 49%
28℃ 38%
30°C 9%
27°C 4%
$13,681 Vol.
$13,681 Vol.
25℃以下
<1%
26℃
2%
27°C
4%
28℃
38%
29℃
49%
30°C
9%
31℃
3%
32℃
1%
33°C
<1%
34℃
<1%
35℃以上
<1%
29℃ 49%
28℃ 38%
30°C 9%
27°C 4%
$13,681 Vol.
$13,681 Vol.
25℃以下
<1%
26℃
2%
27°C
4%
28℃
38%
29℃
49%
30°C
9%
31℃
3%
32℃
1%
33°C
<1%
34℃
<1%
35℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai's September 12 high will likely peak near 29°C under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and low precipitation chances, supporting the narrow market edge for that outcome over 28°C. Current conditions feature stable high pressure and moderate humidity levels typical for early autumn, with daytime heating expected to reach the upper 20s Celsius before evening cooling. Historical September averages hover around 27°C, but recent dry patterns have supported slightly warmer peaks. Final resolution depends on official station readings, with the tight 46.5%–38% split reflecting genuine uncertainty in afternoon maximum timing and any late cloud development.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問