Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate overnight radiative cooling under high pressure and light southwesterly winds will drive Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 13 into the 9–12 °C range, with some runs showing potential for brief clear periods near dawn that could push readings toward 7–8 °C. Cloud cover and dew-point recovery remain key variables that could limit further cooling, consistent with the market's tight clustering around 7–9 °C outcomes. Historical September climatology places typical lows near 10 °C, providing context for the current trader consensus reflected in implied probabilities. Official resolution will rely on verified station data, with final model updates expected overnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
9月13日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
15℃以上 38%
5°C以下 35%
8°C 33%
7°C 32%
新規
新規
2026/09/13
5°C以下
35%
6°C
9%
7°C
32%
8°C
33%
9℃
24%
10℃
13%
11℃
16%
12℃
16%
13°C
14%
14°C
8%
15℃以上
38%
15℃以上 38%
5°C以下 35%
8°C 33%
7°C 32%
新規
新規
2026/09/13
5°C以下
$90 Vol.
35%
6°C
$100 Vol.
9%
7°C
$19 Vol.
32%
8°C
$0 Vol.
33%
9℃
$0 Vol.
24%
10℃
$0 Vol.
13%
11℃
$0 Vol.
16%
12℃
$0 Vol.
16%
13°C
$0 Vol.
14%
14°C
$0 Vol.
8%
15℃以上
$33 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate overnight radiative cooling under high pressure and light southwesterly winds will drive Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 13 into the 9–12 °C range, with some runs showing potential for brief clear periods near dawn that could push readings toward 7–8 °C. Cloud cover and dew-point recovery remain key variables that could limit further cooling, consistent with the market's tight clustering around 7–9 °C outcomes. Historical September climatology places typical lows near 10 °C, providing context for the current trader consensus reflected in implied probabilities. Official resolution will rely on verified station data, with final model updates expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$242終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate overnight radiative cooling under high pressure and light southwesterly winds will drive Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 13 into the 9–12 °C range, with some runs showing potential for brief clear periods near dawn that could push readings toward 7–8 °C. Cloud cover and dew-point recovery remain key variables that could limit further cooling, consistent with the market's tight clustering around 7–9 °C outcomes. Historical September climatology places typical lows near 10 °C, providing context for the current trader consensus reflected in implied probabilities. Official resolution will rely on verified station data, with final model updates expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$242終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate overnight radiative cooling under high pressure and light southwesterly winds will drive Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 13 into the 9–12 °C range, with some runs showing potential for brief clear periods near dawn that could push readings toward 7–8 °C. Cloud cover and dew-point recovery remain key variables that could limit further cooling, consistent with the market's tight clustering around 7–9 °C outcomes. Historical September climatology places typical lows near 10 °C, providing context for the current trader consensus reflected in implied probabilities. Official resolution will rely on verified station data, with final model updates expected overnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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