Current numerical weather prediction models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles project a daytime high near 25–26°C in Incheon on September 12 under stable high-pressure influence, light northeasterly winds, and partly cloudy skies with low precipitation chances. This setup reflects typical early-autumn conditions with moderate humidity and no strong frontal systems or anomalous warming, keeping temperatures close to seasonal baselines around 24–27°C. Ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs introduce modest uncertainty from variable cloud timing or minor wind shifts that could nudge the peak slightly lower or higher, aligning with the tightly matched market-implied probabilities for 25°C and 26°C. Updated KMA guidance and next model cycles will refine these details ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月12日のソウル(仁川)の最高気温は?
25℃ 37%
26℃ 37%
27℃ 12%
24℃ 11%
19℃以下
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
1%
22°C
2%
23℃
5%
24℃
11%
25℃
27%
26℃
29%
27℃
12%
28℃
5%
29℃以上
3%
25℃ 37%
26℃ 37%
27℃ 12%
24℃ 11%
19℃以下
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
1%
22°C
2%
23℃
5%
24℃
11%
25℃
27%
26℃
29%
27℃
12%
28℃
5%
29℃以上
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current numerical weather prediction models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles project a daytime high near 25–26°C in Incheon on September 12 under stable high-pressure influence, light northeasterly winds, and partly cloudy skies with low precipitation chances. This setup reflects typical early-autumn conditions with moderate humidity and no strong frontal systems or anomalous warming, keeping temperatures close to seasonal baselines around 24–27°C. Ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs introduce modest uncertainty from variable cloud timing or minor wind shifts that could nudge the peak slightly lower or higher, aligning with the tightly matched market-implied probabilities for 25°C and 26°C. Updated KMA guidance and next model cycles will refine these details ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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