**Forecast models from authoritative sources such as GFS consistently project an overnight low near 18°C for Incheon on September 12, 2026, with daytime highs in the mid-20s°C under stable, overcast conditions and light winds.** This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region and recent observations showing no significant cold advection or frontal passages. Multiple hourly and daily outlooks place the minimum between roughly 18–21°C, supporting the market-implied odds where 18°C holds a 99% consensus. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in these model runs and the absence of disruptive meteorological signals. A realistic challenge could arise from localized station readings at Incheon International Airport differing due to microclimatic effects, revised observational data, or an unexpected shift in steering patterns that lowers temperatures by 1–2°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月12日のソウル(仁川)の最低気温は?
18℃ 99%
15℃ <1%
16℃ <1%
14℃ <1%
13℃以下
1%
14℃
1%
15℃
1%
16℃
1%
17℃
1%
18℃
99%
19℃
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
<1%
22°C
<1%
23℃以上
<1%
18℃ 99%
15℃ <1%
16℃ <1%
14℃ <1%
13℃以下
1%
14℃
1%
15℃
1%
16℃
1%
17℃
1%
18℃
99%
19℃
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
<1%
22°C
<1%
23℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast models from authoritative sources such as GFS consistently project an overnight low near 18°C for Incheon on September 12, 2026, with daytime highs in the mid-20s°C under stable, overcast conditions and light winds.** This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region and recent observations showing no significant cold advection or frontal passages. Multiple hourly and daily outlooks place the minimum between roughly 18–21°C, supporting the market-implied odds where 18°C holds a 99% consensus. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in these model runs and the absence of disruptive meteorological signals. A realistic challenge could arise from localized station readings at Incheon International Airport differing due to microclimatic effects, revised observational data, or an unexpected shift in steering patterns that lowers temperatures by 1–2°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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