Recent ECMWF and GFS model consensus points to a mild early-autumn pattern over the Netherlands, with southwesterly flow and light rain or broken cloud cover limiting daytime heating on September 14 and keeping the maximum temperature in Amsterdam most likely between 21–23 °C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, reflecting limited uncertainty in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture, while climatological baselines for mid-September hover near 18–20 °C. Latest runs from KNMI and international centers show no significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification that would push readings to 24 °C or higher, supporting the market’s concentration on the 21–23 °C outcomes. Updated model guidance expected later today could refine the exact peak if low-level winds or cloud timing shift.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日のアムステルダムの最高気温は？
9月14日のアムステルダムの最高気温は？
22℃ 40%
23℃ 28%
21°C 17%
24°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
16°C以下
<1%
17℃
2%
18℃
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
8%
21°C
17%
22℃
40%
23℃
28%
24°C
9%
25℃
9%
26℃以上
7%
22℃ 40%
23℃ 28%
21°C 17%
24°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
16°C以下
$10 Vol.
<1%
17℃
$0 Vol.
2%
18℃
$0 Vol.
1%
19°C
$0 Vol.
2%
20°C
$4 Vol.
8%
21°C
$7 Vol.
17%
22℃
$13 Vol.
40%
23℃
$17 Vol.
28%
24°C
$0 Vol.
9%
25℃
$0 Vol.
9%
26℃以上
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and GFS model consensus points to a mild early-autumn pattern over the Netherlands, with southwesterly flow and light rain or broken cloud cover limiting daytime heating on September 14 and keeping the maximum temperature in Amsterdam most likely between 21–23 °C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, reflecting limited uncertainty in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture, while climatological baselines for mid-September hover near 18–20 °C. Latest runs from KNMI and international centers show no significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification that would push readings to 24 °C or higher, supporting the market’s concentration on the 21–23 °C outcomes. Updated model guidance expected later today could refine the exact peak if low-level winds or cloud timing shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$51終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and GFS model consensus points to a mild early-autumn pattern over the Netherlands, with southwesterly flow and light rain or broken cloud cover limiting daytime heating on September 14 and keeping the maximum temperature in Amsterdam most likely between 21–23 °C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, reflecting limited uncertainty in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture, while climatological baselines for mid-September hover near 18–20 °C. Latest runs from KNMI and international centers show no significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification that would push readings to 24 °C or higher, supporting the market’s concentration on the 21–23 °C outcomes. Updated model guidance expected later today could refine the exact peak if low-level winds or cloud timing shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$51終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent ECMWF and GFS model consensus points to a mild early-autumn pattern over the Netherlands, with southwesterly flow and light rain or broken cloud cover limiting daytime heating on September 14 and keeping the maximum temperature in Amsterdam most likely between 21–23 °C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, reflecting limited uncertainty in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture, while climatological baselines for mid-September hover near 18–20 °C. Latest runs from KNMI and international centers show no significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification that would push readings to 24 °C or higher, supporting the market’s concentration on the 21–23 °C outcomes. Updated model guidance expected later today could refine the exact peak if low-level winds or cloud timing shift.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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