**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 27°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 12, 2026, at 99.5% implied probability.** This positioning rests on the Hong Kong Observatory’s (HKO) official “Absolute Daily Min” measurement, the sole resolution source, which aligns with observed conditions under typical late-summer subtropical high pressure, light easterly flow, and modest nocturnal radiative cooling. Forecast models and real-time station data showed overnight lows stabilizing near 27°C with limited cloud cover and humidity supporting that floor rather than deeper cooling. Scenarios that could still alter resolution include a late data revision in the HKO Daily Extract, an undetected micro-climate anomaly at the reference station, or an administrative correction to the absolute minimum—though such changes are rare once preliminary figures are confirmed.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月12日の香港の最低気温は?
27°C 99.4%
26°C <1%
31°C <1%
32°C以上 <1%
$110,169 Vol.
$110,169 Vol.
22℃以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
99%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30℃
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C以上
1%
27°C 99.4%
26°C <1%
31°C <1%
32°C以上 <1%
$110,169 Vol.
$110,169 Vol.
22℃以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
99%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30℃
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 27°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 12, 2026, at 99.5% implied probability.** This positioning rests on the Hong Kong Observatory’s (HKO) official “Absolute Daily Min” measurement, the sole resolution source, which aligns with observed conditions under typical late-summer subtropical high pressure, light easterly flow, and modest nocturnal radiative cooling. Forecast models and real-time station data showed overnight lows stabilizing near 27°C with limited cloud cover and humidity supporting that floor rather than deeper cooling. Scenarios that could still alter resolution include a late data revision in the HKO Daily Extract, an undetected micro-climate anomaly at the reference station, or an administrative correction to the absolute minimum—though such changes are rare once preliminary figures are confirmed.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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