**Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Panama City, Panama, on September 14 centers on 30–32°C, with 31°C holding the strongest market-implied probability at 39%.** This reflects short-term meteorological model outputs and current conditions in the tropical rainy season, where daytime maxima typically average near 30°C but vary with cloud cover, humidity near 80–90%, and scattered showers that can suppress peaks. Recent observations show mostly cloudy skies and light rain keeping readings around 27°C, yet reduced precipitation or clearer intervals in some guidance support slight warming above the September baseline. Official monitoring and ensemble forecasts emphasize uncertainty from steering patterns and local convection, aligning with the market’s concentration around 30–32°C rather than extremes. Updated model runs closer to resolution will likely refine these odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日のパナマシティの最高気温は?
31℃ 42%
32°C 25%
30℃ 22%
29℃ 15%
24℃以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27℃
2%
28℃
4%
29℃
15%
30℃
22%
31℃
42%
32°C
25%
33℃
6%
34°C以上
5%
31℃ 42%
32°C 25%
30℃ 22%
29℃ 15%
24℃以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27℃
2%
28℃
4%
29℃
15%
30℃
22%
31℃
42%
32°C
25%
33℃
6%
34°C以上
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 12, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Panama City, Panama, on September 14 centers on 30–32°C, with 31°C holding the strongest market-implied probability at 39%.** This reflects short-term meteorological model outputs and current conditions in the tropical rainy season, where daytime maxima typically average near 30°C but vary with cloud cover, humidity near 80–90%, and scattered showers that can suppress peaks. Recent observations show mostly cloudy skies and light rain keeping readings around 27°C, yet reduced precipitation or clearer intervals in some guidance support slight warming above the September baseline. Official monitoring and ensemble forecasts emphasize uncertainty from steering patterns and local convection, aligning with the market’s concentration around 30–32°C rather than extremes. Updated model runs closer to resolution will likely refine these odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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