Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature near 17°C for Zhengzhou on September 14, driven by clear to partly cloudy overnight conditions, light southerly winds, and dew points around 15–18°C that limit further radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological September lows averaging 17–18°C and recent observational trends showing no strong cold air advection or anomalous high-pressure strengthening. Market-implied odds reflect strong trader consensus on this outcome, with the modest probability assigned to 16°C or below accounting for potential minor downward revisions in final measurements or localized microclimate effects, while higher thresholds remain improbable absent unexpected warming. Updated model runs and official station data through the evening will determine resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日の鄭州の最低気温は?
17℃ 99%
16℃以下 20%
18℃ <1%
19℃ <1%
$412 Vol.
$412 Vol.
16℃以下
いいえ
17℃
はい
18℃
いいえ
19℃
いいえ
20°C
いいえ
21℃
いいえ
22℃
いいえ
23℃
いいえ
24℃
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26℃以上
いいえ
17℃ 99%
16℃以下 20%
18℃ <1%
19℃ <1%
$412 Vol.
$412 Vol.
16℃以下
いいえ
17℃
はい
18℃
いいえ
19℃
いいえ
20°C
いいえ
21℃
いいえ
22℃
いいえ
23℃
いいえ
24℃
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26℃以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 13, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature near 17°C for Zhengzhou on September 14, driven by clear to partly cloudy overnight conditions, light southerly winds, and dew points around 15–18°C that limit further radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological September lows averaging 17–18°C and recent observational trends showing no strong cold air advection or anomalous high-pressure strengthening. Market-implied odds reflect strong trader consensus on this outcome, with the modest probability assigned to 16°C or below accounting for potential minor downward revisions in final measurements or localized microclimate effects, while higher thresholds remain improbable absent unexpected warming. Updated model runs and official station data through the evening will determine resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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