Current forecast models from sources including GFS and regional meteorological agencies project a September 17 high of 28–29 °C in Shanghai under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds of 3–4 m/s, and a modest chance of light rain or drizzle that limits daytime heating. This pattern aligns with typical early-autumn climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 28 °C absent strong subtropical ridging or cold-air intrusions. Trader consensus, reflected in the 52.5 % implied probability for exactly 28 °C, incorporates these model runs and the narrow expected range, while lower probabilities for 30 °C or above acknowledge the moderating influence of cloud cover and onshore flow. Updated model guidance and official Shanghai Meteorological Bureau briefings in the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月17日の上海の最高気温は？
9月17日の上海の最高気温は？
28℃ 53%
27℃ 24%
29℃ 19%
30℃ 5%
新規
新規
2026/09/17
25℃以下
<1%
26℃
3%
27℃
24%
28℃
53%
29℃
19%
30℃
5%
31℃
2%
32℃
1%
33℃
<1%
34°C
<1%
35℃以上
<1%
28℃ 53%
27℃ 24%
29℃ 19%
30℃ 5%
新規
新規
2026/09/17
25℃以下
$52 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$41 Vol.
3%
27℃
$2,477 Vol.
24%
28℃
$343 Vol.
53%
29℃
$1,257 Vol.
19%
30℃
$305 Vol.
5%
31℃
$318 Vol.
2%
32℃
$193 Vol.
1%
33℃
$199 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$196 Vol.
<1%
35℃以上
$196 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including GFS and regional meteorological agencies project a September 17 high of 28–29 °C in Shanghai under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds of 3–4 m/s, and a modest chance of light rain or drizzle that limits daytime heating. This pattern aligns with typical early-autumn climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 28 °C absent strong subtropical ridging or cold-air intrusions. Trader consensus, reflected in the 52.5 % implied probability for exactly 28 °C, incorporates these model runs and the narrow expected range, while lower probabilities for 30 °C or above acknowledge the moderating influence of cloud cover and onshore flow. Updated model guidance and official Shanghai Meteorological Bureau briefings in the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$5,575終了日
2026/09/17マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including GFS and regional meteorological agencies project a September 17 high of 28–29 °C in Shanghai under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds of 3–4 m/s, and a modest chance of light rain or drizzle that limits daytime heating. This pattern aligns with typical early-autumn climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 28 °C absent strong subtropical ridging or cold-air intrusions. Trader consensus, reflected in the 52.5 % implied probability for exactly 28 °C, incorporates these model runs and the narrow expected range, while lower probabilities for 30 °C or above acknowledge the moderating influence of cloud cover and onshore flow. Updated model guidance and official Shanghai Meteorological Bureau briefings in the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$5,575終了日
2026/09/17マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETCurrent forecast models from sources including GFS and regional meteorological agencies project a September 17 high of 28–29 °C in Shanghai under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds of 3–4 m/s, and a modest chance of light rain or drizzle that limits daytime heating. This pattern aligns with typical early-autumn climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 28 °C absent strong subtropical ridging or cold-air intrusions. Trader consensus, reflected in the 52.5 % implied probability for exactly 28 °C, incorporates these model runs and the narrow expected range, while lower probabilities for 30 °C or above acknowledge the moderating influence of cloud cover and onshore flow. Updated model guidance and official Shanghai Meteorological Bureau briefings in the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問