**Forecast models and current atmospheric conditions point to a mild spring day with a maximum temperature most likely in the 17–18°C range for Cape Town on September 15, 2026.** Multiple sources show highs around 16–18°C (roughly 61–64°F) under persistent northwest winds, overcast skies, and scattered showers or light rain that limit daytime heating. The cold Benguela Current along the Atlantic coast provides strong marine moderation, while the active frontal system and associated cloud cover suppress solar warming compared to clearer spring days. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities—18°C at 43.5% and 17°C at 23.5%—reflecting trader consensus on official station readings (typically Cape Town International Airport). September climatology features average highs near 19°C, but the current pattern of moist, onshore flow keeps values on the cooler side of normal. Minor model spread exists around exact peak timing and any brief clearing, which explains the secondary weight on 19°C (20%) and lower outcomes. Resolution will hinge on the single highest hourly or daily maximum reported by the official network, with no major shifts expected before the close of the 24-hour period.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月15日のケープタウンの最高気温は？
9月15日のケープタウンの最高気温は？
18°C 44%
17℃ 23%
19℃ 20%
16℃ 7%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
12℃以下
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
2%
15℃
3%
16℃
7%
17℃
23%
18°C
44%
19℃
20%
20°C
3%
21℃
2%
22℃以上
2%
18°C 44%
17℃ 23%
19℃ 20%
16℃ 7%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
12℃以下
$177 Vol.
1%
13°C
$10 Vol.
2%
14°C
$18 Vol.
2%
15℃
$103 Vol.
3%
16℃
$308 Vol.
7%
17℃
$1,573 Vol.
23%
18°C
$1,769 Vol.
44%
19℃
$1,690 Vol.
20%
20°C
$191 Vol.
3%
21℃
$71 Vol.
2%
22℃以上
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and current atmospheric conditions point to a mild spring day with a maximum temperature most likely in the 17–18°C range for Cape Town on September 15, 2026.** Multiple sources show highs around 16–18°C (roughly 61–64°F) under persistent northwest winds, overcast skies, and scattered showers or light rain that limit daytime heating. The cold Benguela Current along the Atlantic coast provides strong marine moderation, while the active frontal system and associated cloud cover suppress solar warming compared to clearer spring days.
This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities—18°C at 43.5% and 17°C at 23.5%—reflecting trader consensus on official station readings (typically Cape Town International Airport). September climatology features average highs near 19°C, but the current pattern of moist, onshore flow keeps values on the cooler side of normal. Minor model spread exists around exact peak timing and any brief clearing, which explains the secondary weight on 19°C (20%) and lower outcomes. Resolution will hinge on the single highest hourly or daily maximum reported by the official network, with no major shifts expected before the close of the 24-hour period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
音量
$5,920終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and current atmospheric conditions point to a mild spring day with a maximum temperature most likely in the 17–18°C range for Cape Town on September 15, 2026.** Multiple sources show highs around 16–18°C (roughly 61–64°F) under persistent northwest winds, overcast skies, and scattered showers or light rain that limit daytime heating. The cold Benguela Current along the Atlantic coast provides strong marine moderation, while the active frontal system and associated cloud cover suppress solar warming compared to clearer spring days.
This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities—18°C at 43.5% and 17°C at 23.5%—reflecting trader consensus on official station readings (typically Cape Town International Airport). September climatology features average highs near 19°C, but the current pattern of moist, onshore flow keeps values on the cooler side of normal. Minor model spread exists around exact peak timing and any brief clearing, which explains the secondary weight on 19°C (20%) and lower outcomes. Resolution will hinge on the single highest hourly or daily maximum reported by the official network, with no major shifts expected before the close of the 24-hour period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$5,920終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET**Forecast models and current atmospheric conditions point to a mild spring day with a maximum temperature most likely in the 17–18°C range for Cape Town on September 15, 2026.** Multiple sources show highs around 16–18°C (roughly 61–64°F) under persistent northwest winds, overcast skies, and scattered showers or light rain that limit daytime heating. The cold Benguela Current along the Atlantic coast provides strong marine moderation, while the active frontal system and associated cloud cover suppress solar warming compared to clearer spring days. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities—18°C at 43.5% and 17°C at 23.5%—reflecting trader consensus on official station readings (typically Cape Town International Airport). September climatology features average highs near 19°C, but the current pattern of moist, onshore flow keeps values on the cooler side of normal. Minor model spread exists around exact peak timing and any brief clearing, which explains the secondary weight on 19°C (20%) and lower outcomes. Resolution will hinge on the single highest hourly or daily maximum reported by the official network, with no major shifts expected before the close of the 24-hour period.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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