Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Manila's September 16 high will likely reach 29–31°C, driven by the southwest monsoon with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and frequent afternoon thunderstorms that limit solar heating and cap temperature peaks. These conditions align with historical September averages of 31–32°C but introduce downside risk if heavier rain arrives earlier. Market-implied odds favoring 32°C and 33°C reflect trader assessment of brief clearing periods allowing slight exceedance of model consensus, while lower probabilities for 34°C+ or below 30°C account for the narrow range typical under persistent convective activity. Updated PAGASA guidance and afternoon model runs remain key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月16日のマニラの最高気温は？
9月16日のマニラの最高気温は？
32°C 49%
33℃ 24%
31°C 16%
34℃ 7%
新規
$13,706 Vol.
新規
$13,706 Vol.
2026/09/16
26℃以下
<1%
27℃
1%
28℃
2%
29℃
2%
30℃
5%
31°C
16%
32°C
49%
33℃
24%
34℃
7%
35℃
<1%
36℃以上
<1%
32°C 49%
33℃ 24%
31°C 16%
34℃ 7%
新規
$13,706 Vol.
新規
$13,706 Vol.
2026/09/16
26℃以下
$377 Vol.
<1%
27℃
$295 Vol.
1%
28℃
$179 Vol.
2%
29℃
$191 Vol.
2%
30℃
$1,556 Vol.
5%
31°C
$2,714 Vol.
16%
32°C
$3,911 Vol.
49%
33℃
$3,848 Vol.
24%
34℃
$370 Vol.
7%
35℃
$33 Vol.
<1%
36℃以上
$231 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Manila's September 16 high will likely reach 29–31°C, driven by the southwest monsoon with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and frequent afternoon thunderstorms that limit solar heating and cap temperature peaks. These conditions align with historical September averages of 31–32°C but introduce downside risk if heavier rain arrives earlier. Market-implied odds favoring 32°C and 33°C reflect trader assessment of brief clearing periods allowing slight exceedance of model consensus, while lower probabilities for 34°C+ or below 30°C account for the narrow range typical under persistent convective activity. Updated PAGASA guidance and afternoon model runs remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$13,706終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Manila's September 16 high will likely reach 29–31°C, driven by the southwest monsoon with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and frequent afternoon thunderstorms that limit solar heating and cap temperature peaks. These conditions align with historical September averages of 31–32°C but introduce downside risk if heavier rain arrives earlier. Market-implied odds favoring 32°C and 33°C reflect trader assessment of brief clearing periods allowing slight exceedance of model consensus, while lower probabilities for 34°C+ or below 30°C account for the narrow range typical under persistent convective activity. Updated PAGASA guidance and afternoon model runs remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$13,706終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate Manila's September 16 high will likely reach 29–31°C, driven by the southwest monsoon with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and frequent afternoon thunderstorms that limit solar heating and cap temperature peaks. These conditions align with historical September averages of 31–32°C but introduce downside risk if heavier rain arrives earlier. Market-implied odds favoring 32°C and 33°C reflect trader assessment of brief clearing periods allowing slight exceedance of model consensus, while lower probabilities for 34°C+ or below 30°C account for the narrow range typical under persistent convective activity. Updated PAGASA guidance and afternoon model runs remain key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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