Recent forecast models from sources like the GFS project a daily high near 28°C for Shanghai on September 15 under partly cloudy skies and steady northeast winds of 10–13 mph, with minimal precipitation risk and dew points supporting moderate humidity around 45–65%. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September in the region, where highs typically range 27–29°C absent strong frontal systems or subtropical ridge shifts. Trader consensus, reflected in the 63.5% implied probability for 28°C and 30.5% for 27°C, incorporates these stable conditions and limited model spread, while the low odds for 29°C or higher reflect the absence of warming factors like southerly flow or clear-sky amplification. Updated guidance through the evening of September 14 reinforces this narrow range ahead of final observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月15日の上海の最高気温は？
9月15日の上海の最高気温は？
28℃ 67%
27°C 27%
29℃ 8%
30°C <1%
新規
$11,356 Vol.
新規
$11,356 Vol.
2026/09/15
24℃以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26℃
<1%
27°C
27%
28℃
67%
29℃
8%
30°C
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃
<1%
33℃
<1%
34℃以上
<1%
28℃ 67%
27°C 27%
29℃ 8%
30°C <1%
新規
$11,356 Vol.
新規
$11,356 Vol.
2026/09/15
24℃以下
$198 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$514 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$541 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,585 Vol.
27%
28℃
$2,236 Vol.
67%
29℃
$1,477 Vol.
8%
30°C
$605 Vol.
<1%
31℃
$428 Vol.
<1%
32℃
$293 Vol.
<1%
33℃
$243 Vol.
<1%
34℃以上
$238 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the GFS project a daily high near 28°C for Shanghai on September 15 under partly cloudy skies and steady northeast winds of 10–13 mph, with minimal precipitation risk and dew points supporting moderate humidity around 45–65%. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September in the region, where highs typically range 27–29°C absent strong frontal systems or subtropical ridge shifts. Trader consensus, reflected in the 63.5% implied probability for 28°C and 30.5% for 27°C, incorporates these stable conditions and limited model spread, while the low odds for 29°C or higher reflect the absence of warming factors like southerly flow or clear-sky amplification. Updated guidance through the evening of September 14 reinforces this narrow range ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
音量
$11,356終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the GFS project a daily high near 28°C for Shanghai on September 15 under partly cloudy skies and steady northeast winds of 10–13 mph, with minimal precipitation risk and dew points supporting moderate humidity around 45–65%. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September in the region, where highs typically range 27–29°C absent strong frontal systems or subtropical ridge shifts. Trader consensus, reflected in the 63.5% implied probability for 28°C and 30.5% for 27°C, incorporates these stable conditions and limited model spread, while the low odds for 29°C or higher reflect the absence of warming factors like southerly flow or clear-sky amplification. Updated guidance through the evening of September 14 reinforces this narrow range ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$11,356終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETRecent forecast models from sources like the GFS project a daily high near 28°C for Shanghai on September 15 under partly cloudy skies and steady northeast winds of 10–13 mph, with minimal precipitation risk and dew points supporting moderate humidity around 45–65%. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September in the region, where highs typically range 27–29°C absent strong frontal systems or subtropical ridge shifts. Trader consensus, reflected in the 63.5% implied probability for 28°C and 30.5% for 27°C, incorporates these stable conditions and limited model spread, while the low odds for 29°C or higher reflect the absence of warming factors like southerly flow or clear-sky amplification. Updated guidance through the evening of September 14 reinforces this narrow range ahead of final observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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