Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to an overnight low in the mid-60s°F for Chicago on September 16 under mostly cloudy skies with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Persistent cloud cover limits radiational cooling while light northeast to east winds and elevated dew points near 60°F moderate temperature drops. These conditions support the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 64–67°F, with modest probability mass on 57°F or below reflecting residual uncertainty in shower timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 58–59°F, but the current pattern favors values several degrees above that baseline. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the clearest near-term signal ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月16日のシカゴの最低気温は？
9月16日のシカゴの最低気温は？
57°F以下 50%
58-59°F 39%
華氏70〜71度 39%
72〜73°F 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/16
57°F以下
50%
58-59°F
39%
60〜61°F
22%
62〜63°F
22%
64〜65°F
31%
66～67°F
29%
68～69°F
23%
華氏70〜71度
39%
72〜73°F
39%
74〜75°F
39%
76°F以上
2%
57°F以下 50%
58-59°F 39%
華氏70〜71度 39%
72〜73°F 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/16
57°F以下
$71 Vol.
50%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
39%
60〜61°F
$20 Vol.
22%
62〜63°F
$20 Vol.
22%
64〜65°F
$21 Vol.
31%
66～67°F
$0 Vol.
29%
68～69°F
$0 Vol.
23%
華氏70〜71度
$0 Vol.
39%
72〜73°F
$0 Vol.
39%
74〜75°F
$0 Vol.
39%
76°F以上
$60 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to an overnight low in the mid-60s°F for Chicago on September 16 under mostly cloudy skies with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Persistent cloud cover limits radiational cooling while light northeast to east winds and elevated dew points near 60°F moderate temperature drops. These conditions support the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 64–67°F, with modest probability mass on 57°F or below reflecting residual uncertainty in shower timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 58–59°F, but the current pattern favors values several degrees above that baseline. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the clearest near-term signal ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
音量
$192終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to an overnight low in the mid-60s°F for Chicago on September 16 under mostly cloudy skies with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Persistent cloud cover limits radiational cooling while light northeast to east winds and elevated dew points near 60°F moderate temperature drops. These conditions support the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 64–67°F, with modest probability mass on 57°F or below reflecting residual uncertainty in shower timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 58–59°F, but the current pattern favors values several degrees above that baseline. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the clearest near-term signal ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$192終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to an overnight low in the mid-60s°F for Chicago on September 16 under mostly cloudy skies with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Persistent cloud cover limits radiational cooling while light northeast to east winds and elevated dew points near 60°F moderate temperature drops. These conditions support the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 64–67°F, with modest probability mass on 57°F or below reflecting residual uncertainty in shower timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 58–59°F, but the current pattern favors values several degrees above that baseline. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the clearest near-term signal ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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