**Forecast models from sources including PAGASA-influenced outlooks and international services point to a daytime high near 30–32°C for Manila on September 15, driven by typical late-monsoon conditions with scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80%, and light variable winds that limit extreme heating.** Cloud cover and rainfall expected through the afternoon moderate peak temperatures below seasonal extremes, while the urban heat island and dew points around 25°C support values in the low 30s. Historical September averages near 31°C provide baseline context, with current model consensus favoring 32–33°C as the most probable maximum before any evening cooling. Traders appear to weight these stable tropical patterns heavily, as fresh model runs and official briefings on steering patterns or convective activity could refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月15日のマニラの最高気温は？
9月15日のマニラの最高気温は？
33°C 49%
32°C 33%
31°C 9%
34℃ 7%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
27℃以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃
3%
31°C
9%
32°C
33%
33°C
49%
34℃
7%
35℃
<1%
36℃
<1%
37℃以上
<1%
33°C 49%
32°C 33%
31°C 9%
34℃ 7%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
27℃以下
$66 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
29℃
$95 Vol.
<1%
30℃
$465 Vol.
3%
31°C
$1,886 Vol.
9%
32°C
$1,195 Vol.
33%
33°C
$2,881 Vol.
49%
34℃
$868 Vol.
7%
35℃
$522 Vol.
<1%
36℃
$66 Vol.
<1%
37℃以上
$16 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including PAGASA-influenced outlooks and international services point to a daytime high near 30–32°C for Manila on September 15, driven by typical late-monsoon conditions with scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80%, and light variable winds that limit extreme heating.**
Cloud cover and rainfall expected through the afternoon moderate peak temperatures below seasonal extremes, while the urban heat island and dew points around 25°C support values in the low 30s. Historical September averages near 31°C provide baseline context, with current model consensus favoring 32–33°C as the most probable maximum before any evening cooling. Traders appear to weight these stable tropical patterns heavily, as fresh model runs and official briefings on steering patterns or convective activity could refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
音量
$8,069終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including PAGASA-influenced outlooks and international services point to a daytime high near 30–32°C for Manila on September 15, driven by typical late-monsoon conditions with scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80%, and light variable winds that limit extreme heating.**
Cloud cover and rainfall expected through the afternoon moderate peak temperatures below seasonal extremes, while the urban heat island and dew points around 25°C support values in the low 30s. Historical September averages near 31°C provide baseline context, with current model consensus favoring 32–33°C as the most probable maximum before any evening cooling. Traders appear to weight these stable tropical patterns heavily, as fresh model runs and official briefings on steering patterns or convective activity could refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$8,069終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ET**Forecast models from sources including PAGASA-influenced outlooks and international services point to a daytime high near 30–32°C for Manila on September 15, driven by typical late-monsoon conditions with scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80%, and light variable winds that limit extreme heating.** Cloud cover and rainfall expected through the afternoon moderate peak temperatures below seasonal extremes, while the urban heat island and dew points around 25°C support values in the low 30s. Historical September averages near 31°C provide baseline context, with current model consensus favoring 32–33°C as the most probable maximum before any evening cooling. Traders appear to weight these stable tropical patterns heavily, as fresh model runs and official briefings on steering patterns or convective activity could refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問