Recent forecast consensus from regional models and the China Meteorological Administration indicates a daily maximum near 32°C for Guangzhou on September 16, driven by persistent subtropical warmth, light southerly flow, and moderate humidity levels around 65-75%. Scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, as earlier or more widespread precipitation could cap temperatures at 31°C while delayed or lighter activity allows brief peaks toward 33-34°C. Historical September averages near 32°C and low wind shear support the current distribution, with traders weighting the most recent model runs showing limited intensification potential before any frontal passage. Updated guidance expected overnight will clarify resolution risks around the 31-33°C thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月16日の広州の最高気温は？
9月16日の広州の最高気温は？
32℃ 34%
31℃ 24%
33℃ 23%
34℃ 9%
新規
新規
2026/09/16
25℃以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29℃
2%
30℃
5%
31℃
24%
32℃
34%
33℃
23%
34℃
9%
35°C以上
4%
32℃ 34%
31℃ 24%
33℃ 23%
34℃ 9%
新規
新規
2026/09/16
25℃以下
$338 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$354 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$644 Vol.
1%
28°C
$268 Vol.
1%
29℃
$174 Vol.
2%
30℃
$511 Vol.
5%
31℃
$850 Vol.
24%
32℃
$1,255 Vol.
34%
33℃
$651 Vol.
23%
34℃
$1,026 Vol.
9%
35°C以上
$1,238 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from regional models and the China Meteorological Administration indicates a daily maximum near 32°C for Guangzhou on September 16, driven by persistent subtropical warmth, light southerly flow, and moderate humidity levels around 65-75%. Scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, as earlier or more widespread precipitation could cap temperatures at 31°C while delayed or lighter activity allows brief peaks toward 33-34°C. Historical September averages near 32°C and low wind shear support the current distribution, with traders weighting the most recent model runs showing limited intensification potential before any frontal passage. Updated guidance expected overnight will clarify resolution risks around the 31-33°C thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$7,310終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from regional models and the China Meteorological Administration indicates a daily maximum near 32°C for Guangzhou on September 16, driven by persistent subtropical warmth, light southerly flow, and moderate humidity levels around 65-75%. Scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, as earlier or more widespread precipitation could cap temperatures at 31°C while delayed or lighter activity allows brief peaks toward 33-34°C. Historical September averages near 32°C and low wind shear support the current distribution, with traders weighting the most recent model runs showing limited intensification potential before any frontal passage. Updated guidance expected overnight will clarify resolution risks around the 31-33°C thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$7,310終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecast consensus from regional models and the China Meteorological Administration indicates a daily maximum near 32°C for Guangzhou on September 16, driven by persistent subtropical warmth, light southerly flow, and moderate humidity levels around 65-75%. Scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, as earlier or more widespread precipitation could cap temperatures at 31°C while delayed or lighter activity allows brief peaks toward 33-34°C. Historical September averages near 32°C and low wind shear support the current distribution, with traders weighting the most recent model runs showing limited intensification potential before any frontal passage. Updated guidance expected overnight will clarify resolution risks around the 31-33°C thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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