Traders see the highest temperature in Chengdu on September 15 clustering around 21–23 °C because an approaching frontal system is expected to bring widespread cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and northerly winds that suppress daytime heating. Official model consensus points to a maximum near 22 °C, with the precise peak hinging on the timing of heaviest precipitation and the depth of low-level moisture; earlier or more intense rain would cap readings closer to 21 °C, while delayed onset or partial clearing could allow brief warming toward 23–24 °C. Historical September baselines for the Sichuan basin average 25–26 °C under clearer conditions, underscoring how this synoptic setup deviates from climatology and creates the narrow spread in market-implied odds. Updated NHC-style guidance and local mesoscale runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月15日の成都の最高気温は？
9月15日の成都の最高気温は？
22℃ 32%
21℃ 23%
23℃ 20%
20°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
16℃以下
1%
17℃
1%
18℃
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
10%
21℃
23%
22℃
32%
23℃
20%
24°C
8%
25°C
6%
26℃以上
1%
22℃ 32%
21℃ 23%
23℃ 20%
20°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
16℃以下
$22 Vol.
1%
17℃
$22 Vol.
1%
18℃
$20 Vol.
3%
19°C
$29 Vol.
4%
20°C
$240 Vol.
10%
21℃
$234 Vol.
23%
22℃
$564 Vol.
32%
23℃
$648 Vol.
20%
24°C
$276 Vol.
8%
25°C
$22 Vol.
6%
26℃以上
$23 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Chengdu on September 15 clustering around 21–23 °C because an approaching frontal system is expected to bring widespread cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and northerly winds that suppress daytime heating. Official model consensus points to a maximum near 22 °C, with the precise peak hinging on the timing of heaviest precipitation and the depth of low-level moisture; earlier or more intense rain would cap readings closer to 21 °C, while delayed onset or partial clearing could allow brief warming toward 23–24 °C. Historical September baselines for the Sichuan basin average 25–26 °C under clearer conditions, underscoring how this synoptic setup deviates from climatology and creates the narrow spread in market-implied odds. Updated NHC-style guidance and local mesoscale runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
音量
$2,099終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Chengdu on September 15 clustering around 21–23 °C because an approaching frontal system is expected to bring widespread cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and northerly winds that suppress daytime heating. Official model consensus points to a maximum near 22 °C, with the precise peak hinging on the timing of heaviest precipitation and the depth of low-level moisture; earlier or more intense rain would cap readings closer to 21 °C, while delayed onset or partial clearing could allow brief warming toward 23–24 °C. Historical September baselines for the Sichuan basin average 25–26 °C under clearer conditions, underscoring how this synoptic setup deviates from climatology and creates the narrow spread in market-implied odds. Updated NHC-style guidance and local mesoscale runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,099終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETTraders see the highest temperature in Chengdu on September 15 clustering around 21–23 °C because an approaching frontal system is expected to bring widespread cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and northerly winds that suppress daytime heating. Official model consensus points to a maximum near 22 °C, with the precise peak hinging on the timing of heaviest precipitation and the depth of low-level moisture; earlier or more intense rain would cap readings closer to 21 °C, while delayed onset or partial clearing could allow brief warming toward 23–24 °C. Historical September baselines for the Sichuan basin average 25–26 °C under clearer conditions, underscoring how this synoptic setup deviates from climatology and creates the narrow spread in market-implied odds. Updated NHC-style guidance and local mesoscale runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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