Latest ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS point to a maximum temperature near 10–11°C in Buenos Aires on September 13 under strengthening high pressure, southerly winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. This setup follows cooler conditions on September 12, with dry air and light winds expected to keep the peak modest yet sensitive to small timing shifts in cloud cover or wind direction. Market-implied odds clustering around 12–13°C reflect traders weighing residual model spread and the inherent uncertainty of short-range temperature predictions, where even modest changes in boundary-layer mixing or insolation can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and afternoon observations will provide the decisive data for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は?
12℃ 39%
13℃ 39%
11℃ 11%
14℃ 10%
8℃以下
2%
9℃
2%
10°C
4%
11℃
11%
12℃
39%
13℃
39%
14℃
10%
15℃
4%
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C以上
<1%
12℃ 39%
13℃ 39%
11℃ 11%
14℃ 10%
8℃以下
2%
9℃
2%
10°C
4%
11℃
11%
12℃
39%
13℃
39%
14℃
10%
15℃
4%
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 11, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS point to a maximum temperature near 10–11°C in Buenos Aires on September 13 under strengthening high pressure, southerly winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. This setup follows cooler conditions on September 12, with dry air and light winds expected to keep the peak modest yet sensitive to small timing shifts in cloud cover or wind direction. Market-implied odds clustering around 12–13°C reflect traders weighing residual model spread and the inherent uncertainty of short-range temperature predictions, where even modest changes in boundary-layer mixing or insolation can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and afternoon observations will provide the decisive data for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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