Recent forecast models from the National Weather Service and observational trends positioned 60-61°F as the leading outcome for San Francisco’s September 13 low due to persistent marine layer influence and light onshore flow limiting radiational cooling. Overnight temperatures stabilized in the upper 50s amid clear to partly cloudy skies and weak winds, aligning closely with the 56°F climatological normal while exceeding cooler historical analogs. Official SFO data recorded a 59°F minimum, reflecting these conditions without significant cold-air advection or clear-sky enhancement of heat loss. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of model consensus on these moderate thermal patterns ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日のサンフランシスコの最低気温は？
9月13日のサンフランシスコの最低気温は？
60～61°F 99%
54～55°F 20%
49°F以下 1.0%
52～53°F 1.0%
$801 Vol.
$801 Vol.
2026/09/13
49°F以下
いいえ
50～51°F
いいえ
52～53°F
いいえ
54～55°F
いいえ
56〜57°F
いいえ
58～59°F
いいえ
60～61°F
はい
62〜63°F
いいえ
64〜65°F
いいえ
66～67°F
いいえ
68°F以上
いいえ
60～61°F 99%
54～55°F 20%
49°F以下 1.0%
52～53°F 1.0%
$801 Vol.
$801 Vol.
2026/09/13
49°F以下
$0 Vol.
いいえ
50～51°F
$30 Vol.
いいえ
52～53°F
$0 Vol.
いいえ
54～55°F
$15 Vol.
いいえ
56〜57°F
$20 Vol.
いいえ
58～59°F
$412 Vol.
いいえ
60～61°F
$249 Vol.
はい
62〜63°F
$0 Vol.
いいえ
64〜65°F
$0 Vol.
いいえ
66～67°F
$75 Vol.
いいえ
68°F以上
$0 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the National Weather Service and observational trends positioned 60-61°F as the leading outcome for San Francisco’s September 13 low due to persistent marine layer influence and light onshore flow limiting radiational cooling. Overnight temperatures stabilized in the upper 50s amid clear to partly cloudy skies and weak winds, aligning closely with the 56°F climatological normal while exceeding cooler historical analogs. Official SFO data recorded a 59°F minimum, reflecting these conditions without significant cold-air advection or clear-sky enhancement of heat loss. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of model consensus on these moderate thermal patterns ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 11, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
音量
$801終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 7:29 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the National Weather Service and observational trends positioned 60-61°F as the leading outcome for San Francisco’s September 13 low due to persistent marine layer influence and light onshore flow limiting radiational cooling. Overnight temperatures stabilized in the upper 50s amid clear to partly cloudy skies and weak winds, aligning closely with the 56°F climatological normal while exceeding cooler historical analogs. Official SFO data recorded a 59°F minimum, reflecting these conditions without significant cold-air advection or clear-sky enhancement of heat loss. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of model consensus on these moderate thermal patterns ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$801終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 7:29 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Recent forecast models from the National Weather Service and observational trends positioned 60-61°F as the leading outcome for San Francisco’s September 13 low due to persistent marine layer influence and light onshore flow limiting radiational cooling. Overnight temperatures stabilized in the upper 50s amid clear to partly cloudy skies and weak winds, aligning closely with the 56°F climatological normal while exceeding cooler historical analogs. Official SFO data recorded a 59°F minimum, reflecting these conditions without significant cold-air advection or clear-sky enhancement of heat loss. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of model consensus on these moderate thermal patterns ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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