Recent model consensus from agencies including the Met Office and local Polish forecasters indicates a maximum temperature in Warsaw of 18–19°C on September 17, driven by a weak westerly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Surface observations and ensemble guidance show highs suppressed relative to the prior sunny 24°C day, with peak readings most likely occurring midday under partial breaks before further rain develops. Minor differences in predicted cloud thickness and shower timing create the tight split between the two leading market outcomes, while cooler 17°C scenarios would require heavier or more persistent precipitation than currently expected. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services over the next 12–18 hours will refine the exact peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月17日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
9月17日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
18℃ 40%
19℃ 39%
17℃ 13%
20℃ 8%
新規
新規
2026/09/17
12°C以下
<1%
13℃
<1%
14℃
<1%
15℃
<1%
16°C
3%
17℃
13%
18℃
40%
19℃
39%
20℃
8%
21℃
2%
22℃以上
<1%
18℃ 40%
19℃ 39%
17℃ 13%
20℃ 8%
新規
新規
2026/09/17
12°C以下
$1,423 Vol.
<1%
13℃
$183 Vol.
<1%
14℃
$106 Vol.
<1%
15℃
$213 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$205 Vol.
3%
17℃
$784 Vol.
13%
18℃
$920 Vol.
40%
19℃
$1,068 Vol.
39%
20℃
$998 Vol.
8%
21℃
$120 Vol.
2%
22℃以上
$234 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including the Met Office and local Polish forecasters indicates a maximum temperature in Warsaw of 18–19°C on September 17, driven by a weak westerly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Surface observations and ensemble guidance show highs suppressed relative to the prior sunny 24°C day, with peak readings most likely occurring midday under partial breaks before further rain develops. Minor differences in predicted cloud thickness and shower timing create the tight split between the two leading market outcomes, while cooler 17°C scenarios would require heavier or more persistent precipitation than currently expected. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services over the next 12–18 hours will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$6,255終了日
2026/09/17マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including the Met Office and local Polish forecasters indicates a maximum temperature in Warsaw of 18–19°C on September 17, driven by a weak westerly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Surface observations and ensemble guidance show highs suppressed relative to the prior sunny 24°C day, with peak readings most likely occurring midday under partial breaks before further rain develops. Minor differences in predicted cloud thickness and shower timing create the tight split between the two leading market outcomes, while cooler 17°C scenarios would require heavier or more persistent precipitation than currently expected. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services over the next 12–18 hours will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$6,255終了日
2026/09/17マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent model consensus from agencies including the Met Office and local Polish forecasters indicates a maximum temperature in Warsaw of 18–19°C on September 17, driven by a weak westerly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Surface observations and ensemble guidance show highs suppressed relative to the prior sunny 24°C day, with peak readings most likely occurring midday under partial breaks before further rain develops. Minor differences in predicted cloud thickness and shower timing create the tight split between the two leading market outcomes, while cooler 17°C scenarios would require heavier or more persistent precipitation than currently expected. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services over the next 12–18 hours will refine the exact peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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