Recent National Weather Service-aligned forecasts for Seattle on September 15 project a daily high near 65°F under mostly cloudy conditions with a 30-40% chance of light drizzle and light northerly winds, consistent with the market's leading implied probabilities clustered around 64-67°F. This outlook sits below the 1991-2020 climatological average high of 71°F for the date, reflecting a cooler marine air influence and limited daytime heating. The substantial 48.5% implied probability on 76°F or higher captures residual uncertainty in model guidance regarding potential clearing or warmer advection ahead of the event. Updated short-range model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around these temperature thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月15日のシアトルの最高気温は？
9月15日のシアトルの最高気温は？
64～65°F 40%
68〜69°F 38%
66～67°F 30%
62～63°F 27%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
57°F以下
2%
58〜59°F
3%
60～61°F
6%
62～63°F
27%
64～65°F
40%
66～67°F
30%
68〜69°F
38%
70〜71°F
19%
72～73°F
5%
74〜75°F
3%
76°F以上
2%
64～65°F 40%
68〜69°F 38%
66～67°F 30%
62～63°F 27%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
57°F以下
$0 Vol.
2%
58〜59°F
$0 Vol.
3%
60～61°F
$0 Vol.
6%
62～63°F
$0 Vol.
27%
64～65°F
$0 Vol.
40%
66～67°F
$0 Vol.
30%
68〜69°F
$0 Vol.
38%
70〜71°F
$0 Vol.
19%
72～73°F
$0 Vol.
5%
74〜75°F
$0 Vol.
3%
76°F以上
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service-aligned forecasts for Seattle on September 15 project a daily high near 65°F under mostly cloudy conditions with a 30-40% chance of light drizzle and light northerly winds, consistent with the market's leading implied probabilities clustered around 64-67°F. This outlook sits below the 1991-2020 climatological average high of 71°F for the date, reflecting a cooler marine air influence and limited daytime heating. The substantial 48.5% implied probability on 76°F or higher captures residual uncertainty in model guidance regarding potential clearing or warmer advection ahead of the event. Updated short-range model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around these temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service-aligned forecasts for Seattle on September 15 project a daily high near 65°F under mostly cloudy conditions with a 30-40% chance of light drizzle and light northerly winds, consistent with the market's leading implied probabilities clustered around 64-67°F. This outlook sits below the 1991-2020 climatological average high of 71°F for the date, reflecting a cooler marine air influence and limited daytime heating. The substantial 48.5% implied probability on 76°F or higher captures residual uncertainty in model guidance regarding potential clearing or warmer advection ahead of the event. Updated short-range model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around these temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETRecent National Weather Service-aligned forecasts for Seattle on September 15 project a daily high near 65°F under mostly cloudy conditions with a 30-40% chance of light drizzle and light northerly winds, consistent with the market's leading implied probabilities clustered around 64-67°F. This outlook sits below the 1991-2020 climatological average high of 71°F for the date, reflecting a cooler marine air influence and limited daytime heating. The substantial 48.5% implied probability on 76°F or higher captures residual uncertainty in model guidance regarding potential clearing or warmer advection ahead of the event. Updated short-range model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around these temperature thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問