Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models show persistent cloud cover, rain, and limited solar heating in Chongqing on September 15, producing a consensus daily maximum of 21°C under stable atmospheric conditions with high humidity and light winds. This aligns with current observations of overcast skies and precipitation that suppress daytime warming below typical late-summer levels for the region. The market's 99.6% implied probability for exactly 21°C reflects traders' assessment of these verified model outputs and real-time data. A rapid clearing of clouds or weaker-than-expected rainfall could allow additional insolation and push readings to 22°C or higher, though such shifts remain unlikely based on the latest guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月15日の重慶の最高気温は？
9月15日の重慶の最高気温は？
21°C 100.0%
20℃以下 <1%
22℃ <1%
23°C <1%
$32,711 Vol.
$32,711 Vol.
2026/09/15
20℃以下
いいえ
21°C
はい
22℃
いいえ
23°C
いいえ
24℃
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26℃
いいえ
27℃
いいえ
28℃
いいえ
29℃
いいえ
30℃以上
いいえ
21°C 100.0%
20℃以下 <1%
22℃ <1%
23°C <1%
$32,711 Vol.
$32,711 Vol.
2026/09/15
20℃以下
$1,720 Vol.
いいえ
21°C
$13,581 Vol.
はい
22℃
$4,845 Vol.
いいえ
23°C
$3,028 Vol.
いいえ
24℃
$3,371 Vol.
いいえ
25℃
$3,549 Vol.
いいえ
26℃
$1,327 Vol.
いいえ
27℃
$640 Vol.
いいえ
28℃
$235 Vol.
いいえ
29℃
$304 Vol.
いいえ
30℃以上
$111 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models show persistent cloud cover, rain, and limited solar heating in Chongqing on September 15, producing a consensus daily maximum of 21°C under stable atmospheric conditions with high humidity and light winds. This aligns with current observations of overcast skies and precipitation that suppress daytime warming below typical late-summer levels for the region. The market's 99.6% implied probability for exactly 21°C reflects traders' assessment of these verified model outputs and real-time data. A rapid clearing of clouds or weaker-than-expected rainfall could allow additional insolation and push readings to 22°C or higher, though such shifts remain unlikely based on the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
音量
$32,711終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models show persistent cloud cover, rain, and limited solar heating in Chongqing on September 15, producing a consensus daily maximum of 21°C under stable atmospheric conditions with high humidity and light winds. This aligns with current observations of overcast skies and precipitation that suppress daytime warming below typical late-summer levels for the region. The market's 99.6% implied probability for exactly 21°C reflects traders' assessment of these verified model outputs and real-time data. A rapid clearing of clouds or weaker-than-expected rainfall could allow additional insolation and push readings to 22°C or higher, though such shifts remain unlikely based on the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$32,711終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models show persistent cloud cover, rain, and limited solar heating in Chongqing on September 15, producing a consensus daily maximum of 21°C under stable atmospheric conditions with high humidity and light winds. This aligns with current observations of overcast skies and precipitation that suppress daytime warming below typical late-summer levels for the region. The market's 99.6% implied probability for exactly 21°C reflects traders' assessment of these verified model outputs and real-time data. A rapid clearing of clouds or weaker-than-expected rainfall could allow additional insolation and push readings to 22°C or higher, though such shifts remain unlikely based on the latest guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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