Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles points to a frontal passage and northerly flow over Tokyo on September 16, 2026, with widespread rain and cloud cover suppressing maximum temperatures. Current runs cluster daily highs near 22–23 °C amid 80–100 % precipitation probabilities and dew points supporting limited diurnal warming, consistent with climatological September patterns under similar synoptic setups. Trader emphasis on 23–25 °C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact timing of the cool air advection and potential for brief clearing that could allow slight exceedance of model guidance, while lower probabilities for 26 °C or above align with the strong consensus for suppressed readings. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月16日の東京の最高気温は？
9月16日の東京の最高気温は？
24℃ 37%
25℃ 26%
23℃ 17%
27℃ 11%
新規
新規
2026/09/16
19℃以下
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
7%
22℃
11%
23℃
24%
24℃
37%
25℃
26%
26℃
3%
27℃
11%
28℃
5%
29℃以上
4%
24℃ 37%
25℃ 26%
23℃ 17%
27℃ 11%
新規
新規
2026/09/16
19℃以下
$0 Vol.
4%
20°C
$0 Vol.
4%
21°C
$0 Vol.
7%
22℃
$5 Vol.
11%
23℃
$123 Vol.
24%
24℃
$3 Vol.
37%
25℃
$0 Vol.
26%
26℃
$20 Vol.
3%
27℃
$0 Vol.
11%
28℃
$0 Vol.
5%
29℃以上
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles points to a frontal passage and northerly flow over Tokyo on September 16, 2026, with widespread rain and cloud cover suppressing maximum temperatures. Current runs cluster daily highs near 22–23 °C amid 80–100 % precipitation probabilities and dew points supporting limited diurnal warming, consistent with climatological September patterns under similar synoptic setups. Trader emphasis on 23–25 °C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact timing of the cool air advection and potential for brief clearing that could allow slight exceedance of model guidance, while lower probabilities for 26 °C or above align with the strong consensus for suppressed readings. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$151終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles points to a frontal passage and northerly flow over Tokyo on September 16, 2026, with widespread rain and cloud cover suppressing maximum temperatures. Current runs cluster daily highs near 22–23 °C amid 80–100 % precipitation probabilities and dew points supporting limited diurnal warming, consistent with climatological September patterns under similar synoptic setups. Trader emphasis on 23–25 °C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact timing of the cool air advection and potential for brief clearing that could allow slight exceedance of model guidance, while lower probabilities for 26 °C or above align with the strong consensus for suppressed readings. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$151終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecast model consensus from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles points to a frontal passage and northerly flow over Tokyo on September 16, 2026, with widespread rain and cloud cover suppressing maximum temperatures. Current runs cluster daily highs near 22–23 °C amid 80–100 % precipitation probabilities and dew points supporting limited diurnal warming, consistent with climatological September patterns under similar synoptic setups. Trader emphasis on 23–25 °C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact timing of the cool air advection and potential for brief clearing that could allow slight exceedance of model guidance, while lower probabilities for 26 °C or above align with the strong consensus for suppressed readings. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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