Recent National Weather Service and GFS model guidance positions Miami's September 16 high near 88°F under mostly sunny skies with a 70% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, which typically cap peak readings through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 88-91°F outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble spreads and historical September variability around the 89°F climatological average. Northeast winds of 10-15 mph and elevated humidity may further moderate temperatures, while any delayed convection or stronger subsidence could push readings toward the upper end of the favored range. Updated model runs and NWS briefings ahead of peak heating remain key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月16日のマイアミの最高気温は?
90〜91°F 53%
88~89°F 37%
92〜93°F 6%
86~87°F 4%
77°F以下
<1%
78〜79°F
<1%
80~81°F
<1%
82~83°F
1%
84〜85°F
2%
86~87°F
4%
88~89°F
37%
90〜91°F
53%
92〜93°F
6%
94~95°F
1%
96°F以上
<1%
90〜91°F 53%
88~89°F 37%
92〜93°F 6%
86~87°F 4%
77°F以下
<1%
78〜79°F
<1%
80~81°F
<1%
82~83°F
1%
84〜85°F
2%
86~87°F
4%
88~89°F
37%
90〜91°F
53%
92〜93°F
6%
94~95°F
1%
96°F以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 14, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and GFS model guidance positions Miami's September 16 high near 88°F under mostly sunny skies with a 70% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, which typically cap peak readings through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 88-91°F outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble spreads and historical September variability around the 89°F climatological average. Northeast winds of 10-15 mph and elevated humidity may further moderate temperatures, while any delayed convection or stronger subsidence could push readings toward the upper end of the favored range. Updated model runs and NWS briefings ahead of peak heating remain key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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