Forecast models from NOAA and other agencies point to a high in the low 80s for New York City on September 17, driven by southerly winds advecting warmer air ahead of a weak front, combined with increasing cloud cover that moderates daytime heating. Current observations on September 16 show temperatures reaching the upper 70s under mostly sunny skies, setting up modest overnight recovery. Historical September averages near 76°F provide context, while the 20% chance of light showers or drizzle noted in some runs introduces minor uncertainty around peak values. Traders appear to weigh these variables heavily, with the 82-83°F bin holding the strongest implied probability as model consensus stabilizes ahead of the daily high observation window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月17日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
9月17日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
82〜83°F 45%
80〜81°F 32%
84-85°F 16%
78〜79°F 7%
新規
新規
2026/09/17
71°F以下
1%
72～73°F
<1%
74〜75°F
<1%
76～77°F
<1%
78〜79°F
7%
80〜81°F
32%
82〜83°F
45%
84-85°F
16%
86～87°F
2%
88〜89°F
<1%
90°F以上
<1%
82〜83°F 45%
80〜81°F 32%
84-85°F 16%
78〜79°F 7%
新規
新規
2026/09/17
71°F以下
$218 Vol.
1%
72～73°F
$402 Vol.
<1%
74〜75°F
$409 Vol.
<1%
76～77°F
$246 Vol.
<1%
78〜79°F
$761 Vol.
7%
80〜81°F
$1,656 Vol.
32%
82〜83°F
$2,303 Vol.
45%
84-85°F
$2,716 Vol.
16%
86～87°F
$312 Vol.
2%
88〜89°F
$286 Vol.
<1%
90°F以上
$453 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and other agencies point to a high in the low 80s for New York City on September 17, driven by southerly winds advecting warmer air ahead of a weak front, combined with increasing cloud cover that moderates daytime heating. Current observations on September 16 show temperatures reaching the upper 70s under mostly sunny skies, setting up modest overnight recovery. Historical September averages near 76°F provide context, while the 20% chance of light showers or drizzle noted in some runs introduces minor uncertainty around peak values. Traders appear to weigh these variables heavily, with the 82-83°F bin holding the strongest implied probability as model consensus stabilizes ahead of the daily high observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
音量
$9,753終了日
2026/09/17マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and other agencies point to a high in the low 80s for New York City on September 17, driven by southerly winds advecting warmer air ahead of a weak front, combined with increasing cloud cover that moderates daytime heating. Current observations on September 16 show temperatures reaching the upper 70s under mostly sunny skies, setting up modest overnight recovery. Historical September averages near 76°F provide context, while the 20% chance of light showers or drizzle noted in some runs introduces minor uncertainty around peak values. Traders appear to weigh these variables heavily, with the 82-83°F bin holding the strongest implied probability as model consensus stabilizes ahead of the daily high observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$9,753終了日
2026/09/17マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETForecast models from NOAA and other agencies point to a high in the low 80s for New York City on September 17, driven by southerly winds advecting warmer air ahead of a weak front, combined with increasing cloud cover that moderates daytime heating. Current observations on September 16 show temperatures reaching the upper 70s under mostly sunny skies, setting up modest overnight recovery. Historical September averages near 76°F provide context, while the 20% chance of light showers or drizzle noted in some runs introduces minor uncertainty around peak values. Traders appear to weigh these variables heavily, with the 82-83°F bin holding the strongest implied probability as model consensus stabilizes ahead of the daily high observation window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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