Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance indicate upper-90s highs for Austin on September 18, with consensus near 97–99°F amid persistent southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Trader-implied odds remain closely split across the 94–103°F range because small differences in afternoon dew points, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak convective development can shift the daily maximum by several degrees. Above-average temperatures relative to the late-September climatological normal of ~90–91°F reflect ongoing warmth, while historical records above 100°F underscore the potential for outliers if subsidence strengthens. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs plus the next NWS point forecast will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月18日のオースティンの最高気温は？
9月18日のオースティンの最高気温は？
96〜97°F 40%
98〜99°F 40%
100〜101°F 39%
94～95°F 36%
新規
新規
2026/09/18
87°F以下
9%
88～89°F
10%
90～91°F
31%
92～93°F
15%
94～95°F
36%
96〜97°F
40%
98〜99°F
40%
100〜101°F
39%
102〜103°F
36%
104～105°F
36%
106°F以上
15%
96〜97°F 40%
98〜99°F 40%
100〜101°F 39%
94～95°F 36%
新規
新規
2026/09/18
87°F以下
$0 Vol.
9%
88～89°F
$0 Vol.
10%
90～91°F
$0 Vol.
31%
92～93°F
$0 Vol.
15%
94～95°F
$0 Vol.
36%
96〜97°F
$0 Vol.
40%
98〜99°F
$0 Vol.
40%
100〜101°F
$0 Vol.
39%
102〜103°F
$0 Vol.
36%
104～105°F
$0 Vol.
36%
106°F以上
$0 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance indicate upper-90s highs for Austin on September 18, with consensus near 97–99°F amid persistent southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Trader-implied odds remain closely split across the 94–103°F range because small differences in afternoon dew points, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak convective development can shift the daily maximum by several degrees. Above-average temperatures relative to the late-September climatological normal of ~90–91°F reflect ongoing warmth, while historical records above 100°F underscore the potential for outliers if subsidence strengthens. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs plus the next NWS point forecast will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 16, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 2:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance indicate upper-90s highs for Austin on September 18, with consensus near 97–99°F amid persistent southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Trader-implied odds remain closely split across the 94–103°F range because small differences in afternoon dew points, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak convective development can shift the daily maximum by several degrees. Above-average temperatures relative to the late-September climatological normal of ~90–91°F reflect ongoing warmth, while historical records above 100°F underscore the potential for outliers if subsidence strengthens. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs plus the next NWS point forecast will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 2:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance indicate upper-90s highs for Austin on September 18, with consensus near 97–99°F amid persistent southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Trader-implied odds remain closely split across the 94–103°F range because small differences in afternoon dew points, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak convective development can shift the daily maximum by several degrees. Above-average temperatures relative to the late-September climatological normal of ~90–91°F reflect ongoing warmth, while historical records above 100°F underscore the potential for outliers if subsidence strengthens. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs plus the next NWS point forecast will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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