Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on September 15 project a daytime high of 100–101°F under mostly sunny skies after morning clouds, driven by southerly winds and elevated humidity levels that support heat indices above 105°F. Multiple model runs and point forecasts align closely on this range, consistent with late-summer patterns where regional high pressure maintains above-average temperatures well above the 91°F climatological normal. The 100–101°F bin leads market-implied odds at 61.5% because recent guidance shows minimal cooling potential before peak heating, though small revisions in afternoon dew points or cloud cover could shift outcomes toward adjacent bins. Final NWS updates and real-time observations will determine exact resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月15日のオースティンの最高気温は？
9月15日のオースティンの最高気温は？
100〜101°F 62%
98〜99°F 21%
102～103°F 16%
96〜97°F 4%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
91°F以下
<1%
92～93°F
<1%
94〜95°F
2%
96〜97°F
4%
98〜99°F
21%
100〜101°F
62%
102～103°F
16%
104〜105°F
4%
106～107°F
2%
108〜109°F
1%
華氏110度以上
<1%
100〜101°F 62%
98〜99°F 21%
102～103°F 16%
96〜97°F 4%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
91°F以下
$880 Vol.
<1%
92～93°F
$392 Vol.
<1%
94〜95°F
$7 Vol.
2%
96〜97°F
$18 Vol.
4%
98〜99°F
$166 Vol.
21%
100〜101°F
$706 Vol.
62%
102～103°F
$228 Vol.
16%
104〜105°F
$26 Vol.
4%
106～107°F
$40 Vol.
2%
108〜109°F
$88 Vol.
1%
華氏110度以上
$353 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on September 15 project a daytime high of 100–101°F under mostly sunny skies after morning clouds, driven by southerly winds and elevated humidity levels that support heat indices above 105°F. Multiple model runs and point forecasts align closely on this range, consistent with late-summer patterns where regional high pressure maintains above-average temperatures well above the 91°F climatological normal. The 100–101°F bin leads market-implied odds at 61.5% because recent guidance shows minimal cooling potential before peak heating, though small revisions in afternoon dew points or cloud cover could shift outcomes toward adjacent bins. Final NWS updates and real-time observations will determine exact resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
音量
$2,905終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on September 15 project a daytime high of 100–101°F under mostly sunny skies after morning clouds, driven by southerly winds and elevated humidity levels that support heat indices above 105°F. Multiple model runs and point forecasts align closely on this range, consistent with late-summer patterns where regional high pressure maintains above-average temperatures well above the 91°F climatological normal. The 100–101°F bin leads market-implied odds at 61.5% because recent guidance shows minimal cooling potential before peak heating, though small revisions in afternoon dew points or cloud cover could shift outcomes toward adjacent bins. Final NWS updates and real-time observations will determine exact resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,905終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETOfficial National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on September 15 project a daytime high of 100–101°F under mostly sunny skies after morning clouds, driven by southerly winds and elevated humidity levels that support heat indices above 105°F. Multiple model runs and point forecasts align closely on this range, consistent with late-summer patterns where regional high pressure maintains above-average temperatures well above the 91°F climatological normal. The 100–101°F bin leads market-implied odds at 61.5% because recent guidance shows minimal cooling potential before peak heating, though small revisions in afternoon dew points or cloud cover could shift outcomes toward adjacent bins. Final NWS updates and real-time observations will determine exact resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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