Current short-range forecast models from agencies including Météo-France and the Met Office indicate maximum temperatures in Paris on September 14 will likely reach 26–28 °C under stable high pressure, light northwesterly flow, and partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. This above-climatological norm for mid-September aligns with the market’s heaviest trading on 27 °C (43 %) and 28 °C (31 %), as traders weigh ensemble consensus and limited model spread. Recent runs show little day-to-day revision, supporting the current implied probabilities while leaving room for small adjustments from afternoon convective development or boundary-layer mixing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日のパリの最高気温は？
9月14日のパリの最高気温は？
27°C 43%
28℃ 32%
26℃ 19%
29℃ 15%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
22℃以下
3%
23°C
4%
24℃
4%
25°C
10%
26℃
19%
27°C
43%
28℃
32%
29℃
15%
30°C
4%
31℃
8%
32℃以上
3%
27°C 43%
28℃ 32%
26℃ 19%
29℃ 15%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
22℃以下
$5 Vol.
3%
23°C
$0 Vol.
4%
24℃
$0 Vol.
4%
25°C
$0 Vol.
10%
26℃
$73 Vol.
19%
27°C
$33 Vol.
43%
28℃
$457 Vol.
32%
29℃
$5 Vol.
15%
30°C
$16 Vol.
4%
31℃
$0 Vol.
8%
32℃以上
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from agencies including Météo-France and the Met Office indicate maximum temperatures in Paris on September 14 will likely reach 26–28 °C under stable high pressure, light northwesterly flow, and partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. This above-climatological norm for mid-September aligns with the market’s heaviest trading on 27 °C (43 %) and 28 °C (31 %), as traders weigh ensemble consensus and limited model spread. Recent runs show little day-to-day revision, supporting the current implied probabilities while leaving room for small adjustments from afternoon convective development or boundary-layer mixing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
音量
$589終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from agencies including Météo-France and the Met Office indicate maximum temperatures in Paris on September 14 will likely reach 26–28 °C under stable high pressure, light northwesterly flow, and partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. This above-climatological norm for mid-September aligns with the market’s heaviest trading on 27 °C (43 %) and 28 °C (31 %), as traders weigh ensemble consensus and limited model spread. Recent runs show little day-to-day revision, supporting the current implied probabilities while leaving room for small adjustments from afternoon convective development or boundary-layer mixing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$589終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETCurrent short-range forecast models from agencies including Météo-France and the Met Office indicate maximum temperatures in Paris on September 14 will likely reach 26–28 °C under stable high pressure, light northwesterly flow, and partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. This above-climatological norm for mid-September aligns with the market’s heaviest trading on 27 °C (43 %) and 28 °C (31 %), as traders weigh ensemble consensus and limited model spread. Recent runs show little day-to-day revision, supporting the current implied probabilities while leaving room for small adjustments from afternoon convective development or boundary-layer mixing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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