Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and local forecasts indicates a high near 19–20°C in Warsaw on September 14 under mostly cloudy skies with a 24–50% chance of light rain and light westerly winds. These conditions limit solar heating and daytime temperature rise relative to clearer scenarios, while historical September maxima average around 16–20°C. Ensemble spreads and minor timing differences in cloud cover or showers create genuine uncertainty between the two leading outcomes, with new ECMWF and ICON runs expected to refine the exact peak before resolution. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow scientific range rather than a decisive signal.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
9月14日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
20℃ 41%
19℃ 33%
22°C 16%
17℃ 14%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
13°C以下
2%
14°C
4%
15°C
4%
16℃
4%
17℃
14%
18℃
12%
19℃
33%
20℃
41%
21℃
18%
22°C
16%
23℃以上
7%
20℃ 41%
19℃ 33%
22°C 16%
17℃ 14%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
13°C以下
$0 Vol.
2%
14°C
$0 Vol.
4%
15°C
$0 Vol.
4%
16℃
$0 Vol.
4%
17℃
$0 Vol.
14%
18℃
$0 Vol.
12%
19℃
$26 Vol.
33%
20℃
$17 Vol.
41%
21℃
$63 Vol.
18%
22°C
$0 Vol.
16%
23℃以上
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and local forecasts indicates a high near 19–20°C in Warsaw on September 14 under mostly cloudy skies with a 24–50% chance of light rain and light westerly winds. These conditions limit solar heating and daytime temperature rise relative to clearer scenarios, while historical September maxima average around 16–20°C. Ensemble spreads and minor timing differences in cloud cover or showers create genuine uncertainty between the two leading outcomes, with new ECMWF and ICON runs expected to refine the exact peak before resolution. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow scientific range rather than a decisive signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$106終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and local forecasts indicates a high near 19–20°C in Warsaw on September 14 under mostly cloudy skies with a 24–50% chance of light rain and light westerly winds. These conditions limit solar heating and daytime temperature rise relative to clearer scenarios, while historical September maxima average around 16–20°C. Ensemble spreads and minor timing differences in cloud cover or showers create genuine uncertainty between the two leading outcomes, with new ECMWF and ICON runs expected to refine the exact peak before resolution. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow scientific range rather than a decisive signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$106終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources like GFS and local forecasts indicates a high near 19–20°C in Warsaw on September 14 under mostly cloudy skies with a 24–50% chance of light rain and light westerly winds. These conditions limit solar heating and daytime temperature rise relative to clearer scenarios, while historical September maxima average around 16–20°C. Ensemble spreads and minor timing differences in cloud cover or showers create genuine uncertainty between the two leading outcomes, with new ECMWF and ICON runs expected to refine the exact peak before resolution. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow scientific range rather than a decisive signal.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問