Official National Weather Service forecasts and multiple model runs indicate a high near 100°F for Austin on September 14 under mostly sunny skies with southerly winds of 5–10 mph. This places the market’s leading 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins in close contention, reflecting minor differences in afternoon mixing depth, dew-point advection, and localized heating under weak high pressure. Persistent warm, humid air mass and lack of frontal passage or cloud cover keep temperatures elevated well above the 91°F climatological average, while the all-time September 14 record of 101°F remains a low-probability outlier absent stronger ridging. Updated model guidance and NWS briefings through the weekend will refine the exact peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日のオースティンの最高気温は?
98〜99°F 32%
100~101°F 29%
94~95°F 23%
96〜97°F 15%
89°F以下
4%
90~91°F
8%
92〜93°F
12%
94~95°F
23%
96〜97°F
15%
98〜99°F
32%
100~101°F
29%
102~103°F
11%
104~105°F
5%
106〜107°F
3%
108°F以上
3%
98〜99°F 32%
100~101°F 29%
94~95°F 23%
96〜97°F 15%
89°F以下
4%
90~91°F
8%
92〜93°F
12%
94~95°F
23%
96〜97°F
15%
98〜99°F
32%
100~101°F
29%
102~103°F
11%
104~105°F
5%
106〜107°F
3%
108°F以上
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official National Weather Service forecasts and multiple model runs indicate a high near 100°F for Austin on September 14 under mostly sunny skies with southerly winds of 5–10 mph. This places the market’s leading 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins in close contention, reflecting minor differences in afternoon mixing depth, dew-point advection, and localized heating under weak high pressure. Persistent warm, humid air mass and lack of frontal passage or cloud cover keep temperatures elevated well above the 91°F climatological average, while the all-time September 14 record of 101°F remains a low-probability outlier absent stronger ridging. Updated model guidance and NWS briefings through the weekend will refine the exact peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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