Recent forecasts from multiple models, including DWD and ECMWF outputs, point to mostly clear skies and light northwesterly winds over Munich on September 12, supporting a daily maximum near the 20–22°C range amid typical mid-September cooling. High-pressure dominance has suppressed cloud cover and precipitation chances below 10% in afternoon hours, aligning with the historical average high of 20°C while limiting potential for stronger warming. Market-implied odds favoring 23°C reflect trader weighting of ensemble guidance showing modest afternoon peaks near 21–22°C, with lower probabilities for 24°C or higher tied to the absence of southerly flow or anomalous ridging that could elevate readings further. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月12日のミュンヘンの最高気温は？
9月12日のミュンヘンの最高気温は？
23℃ 47%
22℃ 34%
24°C 34%
21℃ 20%
新規
新規
2026/09/12
19℃以下
4%
20℃
11%
21℃
20%
22℃
34%
23℃
47%
24°C
34%
25℃
10%
26°C
2%
27℃
2%
28°C
2%
29℃以上
2%
23℃ 47%
22℃ 34%
24°C 34%
21℃ 20%
新規
新規
2026/09/12
19℃以下
$0 Vol.
4%
20℃
$0 Vol.
11%
21℃
$0 Vol.
20%
22℃
$0 Vol.
34%
23℃
$53 Vol.
47%
24°C
$0 Vol.
34%
25℃
$11 Vol.
10%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27℃
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C
$0 Vol.
2%
29℃以上
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including DWD and ECMWF outputs, point to mostly clear skies and light northwesterly winds over Munich on September 12, supporting a daily maximum near the 20–22°C range amid typical mid-September cooling. High-pressure dominance has suppressed cloud cover and precipitation chances below 10% in afternoon hours, aligning with the historical average high of 20°C while limiting potential for stronger warming. Market-implied odds favoring 23°C reflect trader weighting of ensemble guidance showing modest afternoon peaks near 21–22°C, with lower probabilities for 24°C or higher tied to the absence of southerly flow or anomalous ridging that could elevate readings further. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$64終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including DWD and ECMWF outputs, point to mostly clear skies and light northwesterly winds over Munich on September 12, supporting a daily maximum near the 20–22°C range amid typical mid-September cooling. High-pressure dominance has suppressed cloud cover and precipitation chances below 10% in afternoon hours, aligning with the historical average high of 20°C while limiting potential for stronger warming. Market-implied odds favoring 23°C reflect trader weighting of ensemble guidance showing modest afternoon peaks near 21–22°C, with lower probabilities for 24°C or higher tied to the absence of southerly flow or anomalous ridging that could elevate readings further. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$64終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models, including DWD and ECMWF outputs, point to mostly clear skies and light northwesterly winds over Munich on September 12, supporting a daily maximum near the 20–22°C range amid typical mid-September cooling. High-pressure dominance has suppressed cloud cover and precipitation chances below 10% in afternoon hours, aligning with the historical average high of 20°C while limiting potential for stronger warming. Market-implied odds favoring 23°C reflect trader weighting of ensemble guidance showing modest afternoon peaks near 21–22°C, with lower probabilities for 24°C or higher tied to the absence of southerly flow or anomalous ridging that could elevate readings further. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問