Current forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and supporting models point to an overnight low near 6–10°C on September 12 under building high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote strong radiative cooling after sunset. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the single digits Celsius, consistent with the historical average low of 10.5°C for the date while allowing for cooler outcomes if dew points drop further. Model consensus remains stable in the short term, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind could raise readings toward 11–12°C. Traders appear to price in some upside uncertainty around the exact minimum, reflected in elevated probabilities for 14°C or higher alongside clustered interest near 8–10°C. Updated model runs and DWD briefings ahead of the night will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月12日のミュンヘンの最低気温は?
14℃以上 85%
6°C 39%
7℃ 39%
9°C 39%
4℃以下
18%
5℃
35%
6°C
39%
7℃
39%
8℃
24%
9°C
39%
10℃
23%
11°C
18%
12°C
18%
13℃
16%
14℃以上
85%
14℃以上 85%
6°C 39%
7℃ 39%
9°C 39%
4℃以下
18%
5℃
35%
6°C
39%
7℃
39%
8℃
24%
9°C
39%
10℃
23%
11°C
18%
12°C
18%
13℃
16%
14℃以上
85%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and supporting models point to an overnight low near 6–10°C on September 12 under building high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote strong radiative cooling after sunset. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the single digits Celsius, consistent with the historical average low of 10.5°C for the date while allowing for cooler outcomes if dew points drop further. Model consensus remains stable in the short term, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind could raise readings toward 11–12°C. Traders appear to price in some upside uncertainty around the exact minimum, reflected in elevated probabilities for 14°C or higher alongside clustered interest near 8–10°C. Updated model runs and DWD briefings ahead of the night will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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