Latest ensemble forecasts from models like GFS indicate a daily maximum near 18°C under persistent overcast skies that limit solar insolation and daytime heating in Munich. Light northeasterly winds and stable high pressure suppress mixing, keeping surface temperatures from climbing further despite September's typical climatological average high of 20.5°C. Trader consensus splits closely between 18°C and 19°C because minor differences in cloud optical depth or brief partial clearing could add 1°C of warming, while model spread on boundary-layer moisture and advection creates genuine uncertainty around the exact peak. Official observations through midday show readings climbing toward 16–17°C, aligning with this narrow range ahead of afternoon stabilization.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月10日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?
19℃ 42%
18℃ 38%
17℃ 10%
20℃ 7%
$25,380 Vol.
$25,380 Vol.
13℃以下
<1%
14℃
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17℃
10%
18℃
38%
19℃
42%
20℃
7%
21°C
2%
22℃
<1%
23℃以上
<1%
19℃ 42%
18℃ 38%
17℃ 10%
20℃ 7%
$25,380 Vol.
$25,380 Vol.
13℃以下
<1%
14℃
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17℃
10%
18℃
38%
19℃
42%
20℃
7%
21°C
2%
22℃
<1%
23℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest ensemble forecasts from models like GFS indicate a daily maximum near 18°C under persistent overcast skies that limit solar insolation and daytime heating in Munich. Light northeasterly winds and stable high pressure suppress mixing, keeping surface temperatures from climbing further despite September's typical climatological average high of 20.5°C. Trader consensus splits closely between 18°C and 19°C because minor differences in cloud optical depth or brief partial clearing could add 1°C of warming, while model spread on boundary-layer moisture and advection creates genuine uncertainty around the exact peak. Official observations through midday show readings climbing toward 16–17°C, aligning with this narrow range ahead of afternoon stabilization.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問