Current forecasts from Environment Canada and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature near 13°C in Toronto on September 14 under building high pressure, northwest winds of 10-20 km/h, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies following a frontal passage. This setup favors radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs of 21°C, placing the implied probability for a 12°C low near even odds with slightly cooler outcomes. Model consensus shows limited spread around this value, though small variations in cloud cover or wind speed could shift the exact minimum by 1-2°C relative to the 1991-2020 average low of 14.2°C. Updated guidance and observational data from Pearson Airport will refine the resolution threshold as the period closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日のトロントの最低気温は?
6℃以下 88%
16°C以上 85%
12℃ 48%
13℃ 38%
6℃以下
88%
7°C
15%
8°C
15%
9℃
14%
10℃
20%
11℃
26%
12℃
48%
13℃
38%
14℃
22%
15℃
22%
16°C以上
85%
6℃以下 88%
16°C以上 85%
12℃ 48%
13℃ 38%
6℃以下
88%
7°C
15%
8°C
15%
9℃
14%
10℃
20%
11℃
26%
12℃
48%
13℃
38%
14℃
22%
15℃
22%
16°C以上
85%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 12, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from Environment Canada and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature near 13°C in Toronto on September 14 under building high pressure, northwest winds of 10-20 km/h, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies following a frontal passage. This setup favors radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs of 21°C, placing the implied probability for a 12°C low near even odds with slightly cooler outcomes. Model consensus shows limited spread around this value, though small variations in cloud cover or wind speed could shift the exact minimum by 1-2°C relative to the 1991-2020 average low of 14.2°C. Updated guidance and observational data from Pearson Airport will refine the resolution threshold as the period closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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