Recent official forecasts from agencies and models indicate a maximum temperature in Tokyo on September 13 around 25–27°C under mostly cloudy skies with light variable winds and isolated showers. This positioning stems from seasonal transition conditions typical for mid-September, including moderating subtropical air masses, elevated humidity near 80%, and limited solar heating from cloud cover, which caps daytime peaks below late-summer norms. Model runs show tight consensus near 26°C with minimal spread, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 25°C as the implied mode while leaving room for slight upward revisions if afternoon clearing occurs. Updated observations through midday align with these guidance trends ahead of final daily maximum readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日の東京の最高気温は?
25°C 55%
26℃ 22%
24°C 19%
27℃ 4%
$46,069 Vol.
$46,069 Vol.
21℃以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
19%
25°C
55%
26℃
22%
27℃
4%
28℃
2%
29℃
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃以上
<1%
25°C 55%
26℃ 22%
24°C 19%
27℃ 4%
$46,069 Vol.
$46,069 Vol.
21℃以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
19%
25°C
55%
26℃
22%
27℃
4%
28℃
2%
29℃
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from agencies and models indicate a maximum temperature in Tokyo on September 13 around 25–27°C under mostly cloudy skies with light variable winds and isolated showers. This positioning stems from seasonal transition conditions typical for mid-September, including moderating subtropical air masses, elevated humidity near 80%, and limited solar heating from cloud cover, which caps daytime peaks below late-summer norms. Model runs show tight consensus near 26°C with minimal spread, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 25°C as the implied mode while leaving room for slight upward revisions if afternoon clearing occurs. Updated observations through midday align with these guidance trends ahead of final daily maximum readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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