Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall across São Paulo on September 14, limiting daytime heating and supporting a maximum temperature near 17–18°C. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 17°C or 18°C, reflecting trader assessment of official guidance showing suppressed highs well below the September climatological average of 23–26°C. Light winds and high humidity further reduce the potential for brief warming spells, while model runs show limited spread around these values. Resolution hinges on the precise peak recorded by local stations amid ongoing showers, with any clearing trend offering the main upside risk for 19°C or higher.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日のサンパウロの最高気温は？
9月14日のサンパウロの最高気温は？
18°C 29%
17°C 27%
16℃ 16%
19℃ 15%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
14°C以下
2%
15°C
5%
16℃
16%
17°C
27%
18°C
29%
19℃
15%
20℃
6%
21℃
3%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24℃以上
<1%
18°C 29%
17°C 27%
16℃ 16%
19℃ 15%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
14°C以下
$0 Vol.
2%
15°C
$171 Vol.
5%
16℃
$440 Vol.
16%
17°C
$520 Vol.
27%
18°C
$255 Vol.
29%
19℃
$627 Vol.
15%
20℃
$191 Vol.
6%
21℃
$122 Vol.
3%
22°C
$172 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$287 Vol.
1%
24℃以上
$417 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall across São Paulo on September 14, limiting daytime heating and supporting a maximum temperature near 17–18°C. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 17°C or 18°C, reflecting trader assessment of official guidance showing suppressed highs well below the September climatological average of 23–26°C. Light winds and high humidity further reduce the potential for brief warming spells, while model runs show limited spread around these values. Resolution hinges on the precise peak recorded by local stations amid ongoing showers, with any clearing trend offering the main upside risk for 19°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 12, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
音量
$3,203終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 8:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall across São Paulo on September 14, limiting daytime heating and supporting a maximum temperature near 17–18°C. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 17°C or 18°C, reflecting trader assessment of official guidance showing suppressed highs well below the September climatological average of 23–26°C. Light winds and high humidity further reduce the potential for brief warming spells, while model runs show limited spread around these values. Resolution hinges on the precise peak recorded by local stations amid ongoing showers, with any clearing trend offering the main upside risk for 19°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,203終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 8:55 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall across São Paulo on September 14, limiting daytime heating and supporting a maximum temperature near 17–18°C. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 17°C or 18°C, reflecting trader assessment of official guidance showing suppressed highs well below the September climatological average of 23–26°C. Light winds and high humidity further reduce the potential for brief warming spells, while model runs show limited spread around these values. Resolution hinges on the precise peak recorded by local stations amid ongoing showers, with any clearing trend offering the main upside risk for 19°C or higher.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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