Current forecasts and real-time observations for São Paulo on September 13, 2026, show the daily minimum temperature likely falling between 12–15°C, keeping market-implied probabilities tightly clustered around the 13°C, 14°C, and 15°C outcomes. Persistent overcast skies, light rain showers, and southeasterly flow off the Atlantic have limited daytime heating and slowed nocturnal radiative cooling, producing a narrow diurnal range. High humidity near 90% and dew points close to surface temperatures further suppress temperature drops. Model consensus from sources like the Met Office and local stations points to a minimum near 13–15°C, though any brief clearing or heavier showers could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh these atmospheric conditions and the proximity to resolution against historical early-spring baselines for the region.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日のサンパウロの最低気温は?
10℃以下 96%
15°C 51%
13℃ 50%
14°C 49%
$367 Vol.
$367 Vol.
10℃以下
96%
11℃
9%
12°C
9%
13℃
50%
14°C
49%
15°C
51%
16℃
<1%
17℃
<1%
18°C
<1%
19℃
<1%
20℃以上
<1%
10℃以下 96%
15°C 51%
13℃ 50%
14°C 49%
$367 Vol.
$367 Vol.
10℃以下
96%
11℃
9%
12°C
9%
13℃
50%
14°C
49%
15°C
51%
16℃
<1%
17℃
<1%
18°C
<1%
19℃
<1%
20℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 11, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts and real-time observations for São Paulo on September 13, 2026, show the daily minimum temperature likely falling between 12–15°C, keeping market-implied probabilities tightly clustered around the 13°C, 14°C, and 15°C outcomes. Persistent overcast skies, light rain showers, and southeasterly flow off the Atlantic have limited daytime heating and slowed nocturnal radiative cooling, producing a narrow diurnal range. High humidity near 90% and dew points close to surface temperatures further suppress temperature drops. Model consensus from sources like the Met Office and local stations points to a minimum near 13–15°C, though any brief clearing or heavier showers could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh these atmospheric conditions and the proximity to resolution against historical early-spring baselines for the region.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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