Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw’s September 13 maximum near 19–21 °C under a southwesterly flow advecting mild maritime air ahead of a weak trough. Persistent low- to mid-level cloud cover and light showers expected during peak heating hours limit surface warming, while modest pressure gradients keep winds light enough to prevent strong mixing. Historical September maxima average near 18 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above climatology but below recent warm anomalies. Minor model spread in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture creates the tight 20 °C versus 21 °C contest seen in trader pricing, with resolution hinging on the 00 UTC and 12 UTC runs issued on the 13th.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
9月13日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
20°C 43%
21°C 42%
19℃ 10%
22℃ 4%
新規
新規
2026/09/13
14℃以下
<1%
15℃
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19℃
10%
20°C
43%
21°C
42%
22℃
4%
23℃
2%
24°C以上
1%
20°C 43%
21°C 42%
19℃ 10%
22℃ 4%
新規
新規
2026/09/13
14℃以下
$67 Vol.
<1%
15℃
$134 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$131 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$18 Vol.
2%
18°C
$161 Vol.
2%
19℃
$619 Vol.
10%
20°C
$755 Vol.
43%
21°C
$820 Vol.
42%
22℃
$263 Vol.
4%
23℃
$59 Vol.
2%
24°C以上
$285 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw’s September 13 maximum near 19–21 °C under a southwesterly flow advecting mild maritime air ahead of a weak trough. Persistent low- to mid-level cloud cover and light showers expected during peak heating hours limit surface warming, while modest pressure gradients keep winds light enough to prevent strong mixing. Historical September maxima average near 18 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above climatology but below recent warm anomalies. Minor model spread in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture creates the tight 20 °C versus 21 °C contest seen in trader pricing, with resolution hinging on the 00 UTC and 12 UTC runs issued on the 13th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$3,310終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw’s September 13 maximum near 19–21 °C under a southwesterly flow advecting mild maritime air ahead of a weak trough. Persistent low- to mid-level cloud cover and light showers expected during peak heating hours limit surface warming, while modest pressure gradients keep winds light enough to prevent strong mixing. Historical September maxima average near 18 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above climatology but below recent warm anomalies. Minor model spread in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture creates the tight 20 °C versus 21 °C contest seen in trader pricing, with resolution hinging on the 00 UTC and 12 UTC runs issued on the 13th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,310終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw’s September 13 maximum near 19–21 °C under a southwesterly flow advecting mild maritime air ahead of a weak trough. Persistent low- to mid-level cloud cover and light showers expected during peak heating hours limit surface warming, while modest pressure gradients keep winds light enough to prevent strong mixing. Historical September maxima average near 18 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above climatology but below recent warm anomalies. Minor model spread in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture creates the tight 20 °C versus 21 °C contest seen in trader pricing, with resolution hinging on the 00 UTC and 12 UTC runs issued on the 13th.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問