Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources show mostly sunny to clear conditions over Qingdao on September 14, driven by a stable high-pressure system and light northerly to southeasterly winds that limit cloud cover and moisture. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea, combined with seasonal autumn cooling, supports daytime highs in the 26–28°C range, consistent with historical September averages around 26°C. Model consensus highlights minimal precipitation risk and moderate humidity, though slight variations in peak timing or urban heat effects could push readings toward 29°C. These atmospheric patterns explain the market's concentration of implied probability on 29°C and 30°C outcomes, with lower odds on cooler or hotter extremes reflecting tight forecast agreement ahead of final observational data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日の青島の最高気温は？
9月14日の青島の最高気温は？
29°C 53%
30℃ 38%
28°C 6%
31℃ 5%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
24℃以下
<1%
25℃
1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
53%
30℃
38%
31℃
5%
32℃
2%
33°C
<1%
34℃以上
<1%
29°C 53%
30℃ 38%
28°C 6%
31℃ 5%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
24℃以下
$363 Vol.
<1%
25℃
$277 Vol.
1%
26℃
$0 Vol.
<1%
27℃
$276 Vol.
2%
28°C
$720 Vol.
6%
29°C
$1,778 Vol.
53%
30℃
$448 Vol.
38%
31℃
$682 Vol.
5%
32℃
$239 Vol.
2%
33°C
$241 Vol.
<1%
34℃以上
$560 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources show mostly sunny to clear conditions over Qingdao on September 14, driven by a stable high-pressure system and light northerly to southeasterly winds that limit cloud cover and moisture. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea, combined with seasonal autumn cooling, supports daytime highs in the 26–28°C range, consistent with historical September averages around 26°C. Model consensus highlights minimal precipitation risk and moderate humidity, though slight variations in peak timing or urban heat effects could push readings toward 29°C. These atmospheric patterns explain the market's concentration of implied probability on 29°C and 30°C outcomes, with lower odds on cooler or hotter extremes reflecting tight forecast agreement ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
音量
$5,583終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources show mostly sunny to clear conditions over Qingdao on September 14, driven by a stable high-pressure system and light northerly to southeasterly winds that limit cloud cover and moisture. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea, combined with seasonal autumn cooling, supports daytime highs in the 26–28°C range, consistent with historical September averages around 26°C. Model consensus highlights minimal precipitation risk and moderate humidity, though slight variations in peak timing or urban heat effects could push readings toward 29°C. These atmospheric patterns explain the market's concentration of implied probability on 29°C and 30°C outcomes, with lower odds on cooler or hotter extremes reflecting tight forecast agreement ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$5,583終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources show mostly sunny to clear conditions over Qingdao on September 14, driven by a stable high-pressure system and light northerly to southeasterly winds that limit cloud cover and moisture. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea, combined with seasonal autumn cooling, supports daytime highs in the 26–28°C range, consistent with historical September averages around 26°C. Model consensus highlights minimal precipitation risk and moderate humidity, though slight variations in peak timing or urban heat effects could push readings toward 29°C. These atmospheric patterns explain the market's concentration of implied probability on 29°C and 30°C outcomes, with lower odds on cooler or hotter extremes reflecting tight forecast agreement ahead of final observational data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問