Trader consensus on Qingdao's September 13 minimum centers on 18–19 °C because numerical weather models and observational trends show stable high pressure, light variable winds, and persistent cloud cover limiting overnight radiational cooling along the Yellow Sea coast. Marine moderation from the nearby ocean keeps temperatures from dropping further, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover near 18 °C. Minor model spread arises from differences in predicted cloud thickness and wind direction shifts that could allow slightly more or less cooling before dawn; fresh guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will clarify whether the minimum settles at 19 °C or edges to 18 °C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日の青島の最低気温は?
16°C以下 90%
17°C 90%
20°C <1%
21℃ <1%
16°C以下
90%
17°C
90%
18℃
47%
19℃
50%
20°C
<1%
21℃
<1%
22°C
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃以上
<1%
16°C以下 90%
17°C 90%
20°C <1%
21℃ <1%
16°C以下
90%
17°C
90%
18℃
47%
19℃
50%
20°C
<1%
21℃
<1%
22°C
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus on Qingdao's September 13 minimum centers on 18–19 °C because numerical weather models and observational trends show stable high pressure, light variable winds, and persistent cloud cover limiting overnight radiational cooling along the Yellow Sea coast. Marine moderation from the nearby ocean keeps temperatures from dropping further, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover near 18 °C. Minor model spread arises from differences in predicted cloud thickness and wind direction shifts that could allow slightly more or less cooling before dawn; fresh guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will clarify whether the minimum settles at 19 °C or edges to 18 °C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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