**Forecast models for Guangzhou on September 14 show daytime highs clustered around 31–34°C amid scattered showers and thunderstorms tied to a nearby tropical depression and northeast monsoon flow.** Historical September averages place the typical high near 32°C, with records on this date ranging from the mid-20s to 36°C, but current conditions introduce variability through cloud cover and rainfall timing that can suppress or allow brief peaks. Recent ensemble guidance from sources like ECMWF and GFS reflects this spread, with some runs favoring upper-30s under clearer intervals while others cap temperatures lower due to persistent moisture. Trader consensus mirrors this genuine uncertainty, assigning roughly equal implied probabilities across the 29–36°C+ band rather than concentrating on any single outcome. Updated model runs and official agency briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range as the system’s path and intensity become clearer.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日の広州の最高気温は？
9月14日の広州の最高気温は？
30°C 32%
33℃ 22%
34℃ 20%
32°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
26℃以下
2%
27℃
2%
28℃
2%
29°C
10%
30°C
32%
31°C
14%
32°C
18%
33℃
22%
34℃
20%
35℃
10%
36℃以上
15%
30°C 32%
33℃ 22%
34℃ 20%
32°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
26℃以下
$0 Vol.
2%
27℃
$0 Vol.
2%
28℃
$5 Vol.
2%
29°C
$0 Vol.
10%
30°C
$0 Vol.
32%
31°C
$0 Vol.
14%
32°C
$0 Vol.
18%
33℃
$0 Vol.
22%
34℃
$0 Vol.
20%
35℃
$0 Vol.
10%
36℃以上
$0 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Guangzhou on September 14 show daytime highs clustered around 31–34°C amid scattered showers and thunderstorms tied to a nearby tropical depression and northeast monsoon flow.** Historical September averages place the typical high near 32°C, with records on this date ranging from the mid-20s to 36°C, but current conditions introduce variability through cloud cover and rainfall timing that can suppress or allow brief peaks. Recent ensemble guidance from sources like ECMWF and GFS reflects this spread, with some runs favoring upper-30s under clearer intervals while others cap temperatures lower due to persistent moisture. Trader consensus mirrors this genuine uncertainty, assigning roughly equal implied probabilities across the 29–36°C+ band rather than concentrating on any single outcome. Updated model runs and official agency briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range as the system’s path and intensity become clearer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$5終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Guangzhou on September 14 show daytime highs clustered around 31–34°C amid scattered showers and thunderstorms tied to a nearby tropical depression and northeast monsoon flow.** Historical September averages place the typical high near 32°C, with records on this date ranging from the mid-20s to 36°C, but current conditions introduce variability through cloud cover and rainfall timing that can suppress or allow brief peaks. Recent ensemble guidance from sources like ECMWF and GFS reflects this spread, with some runs favoring upper-30s under clearer intervals while others cap temperatures lower due to persistent moisture. Trader consensus mirrors this genuine uncertainty, assigning roughly equal implied probabilities across the 29–36°C+ band rather than concentrating on any single outcome. Updated model runs and official agency briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range as the system’s path and intensity become clearer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$5終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Forecast models for Guangzhou on September 14 show daytime highs clustered around 31–34°C amid scattered showers and thunderstorms tied to a nearby tropical depression and northeast monsoon flow.** Historical September averages place the typical high near 32°C, with records on this date ranging from the mid-20s to 36°C, but current conditions introduce variability through cloud cover and rainfall timing that can suppress or allow brief peaks. Recent ensemble guidance from sources like ECMWF and GFS reflects this spread, with some runs favoring upper-30s under clearer intervals while others cap temperatures lower due to persistent moisture. Trader consensus mirrors this genuine uncertainty, assigning roughly equal implied probabilities across the 29–36°C+ band rather than concentrating on any single outcome. Updated model runs and official agency briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range as the system’s path and intensity become clearer.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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