Recent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF indicate mostly clear skies and light southerly winds over Milan on September 14, supporting a daytime maximum near 27–28 °C. This aligns with the market’s heaviest trading on 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes, as traders weigh the narrow spread between official guidance and local urban heat effects. Stable high pressure and below-average moisture have kept recent runs consistent, though small differences in afternoon cloud cover or wind timing could shift the peak by 1 °C. Historical September maxima in Milan average near 26 °C, providing context for the current slightly warmer signal. Updated model runs and official Italian meteorological briefings expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日のミラノの最高気温は？
9月14日のミラノの最高気温は？
29℃ 53%
28℃ 32%
30℃ 12%
27℃ 5%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
21℃以下
<1%
22℃
<1%
23℃
<1%
24°C
<1%
25℃
1%
26℃
4%
27℃
5%
28℃
32%
29℃
53%
30℃
12%
31℃以上
2%
29℃ 53%
28℃ 32%
30℃ 12%
27℃ 5%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
21℃以下
$253 Vol.
<1%
22℃
$336 Vol.
<1%
23℃
$200 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$186 Vol.
<1%
25℃
$6 Vol.
1%
26℃
$161 Vol.
4%
27℃
$317 Vol.
5%
28℃
$2,746 Vol.
32%
29℃
$702 Vol.
53%
30℃
$414 Vol.
12%
31℃以上
$242 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF indicate mostly clear skies and light southerly winds over Milan on September 14, supporting a daytime maximum near 27–28 °C. This aligns with the market’s heaviest trading on 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes, as traders weigh the narrow spread between official guidance and local urban heat effects. Stable high pressure and below-average moisture have kept recent runs consistent, though small differences in afternoon cloud cover or wind timing could shift the peak by 1 °C. Historical September maxima in Milan average near 26 °C, providing context for the current slightly warmer signal. Updated model runs and official Italian meteorological briefings expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$5,563終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF indicate mostly clear skies and light southerly winds over Milan on September 14, supporting a daytime maximum near 27–28 °C. This aligns with the market’s heaviest trading on 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes, as traders weigh the narrow spread between official guidance and local urban heat effects. Stable high pressure and below-average moisture have kept recent runs consistent, though small differences in afternoon cloud cover or wind timing could shift the peak by 1 °C. Historical September maxima in Milan average near 26 °C, providing context for the current slightly warmer signal. Updated model runs and official Italian meteorological briefings expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$5,563終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF indicate mostly clear skies and light southerly winds over Milan on September 14, supporting a daytime maximum near 27–28 °C. This aligns with the market’s heaviest trading on 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes, as traders weigh the narrow spread between official guidance and local urban heat effects. Stable high pressure and below-average moisture have kept recent runs consistent, though small differences in afternoon cloud cover or wind timing could shift the peak by 1 °C. Historical September maxima in Milan average near 26 °C, providing context for the current slightly warmer signal. Updated model runs and official Italian meteorological briefings expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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