Forecast consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and regional models points to a minimum temperature near 18–19°C in Milan on September 13 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and moderate radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the Po Valley, where urban heat retention and dew-point depression often keep lows several degrees above rural areas. Model spread remains modest at this short range, yet small differences in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. With market-implied probabilities tightly clustered around 15–16°C and significant weight on both warmer and cooler outcomes, traders appear focused on resolving uncertainty from the final model runs and any late adjustments in steering flow or humidity before the overnight minimum is observed.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日のミラノの最低気温は？
9月13日のミラノの最低気温は？
11℃以下 50%
21℃以上 50%
20℃ 39%
15℃ 30%
新規
新規
2026/09/13
11℃以下
50%
12℃
15%
13℃
10%
14℃
24%
15℃
30%
16℃
29%
17℃
22%
18℃
15%
19°C
24%
20℃
39%
21℃以上
50%
11℃以下 50%
21℃以上 50%
20℃ 39%
15℃ 30%
新規
新規
2026/09/13
11℃以下
$0 Vol.
50%
12℃
$30 Vol.
15%
13℃
$8 Vol.
10%
14℃
$0 Vol.
24%
15℃
$0 Vol.
30%
16℃
$0 Vol.
29%
17℃
$0 Vol.
22%
18℃
$93 Vol.
15%
19°C
$842 Vol.
24%
20℃
$0 Vol.
39%
21℃以上
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and regional models points to a minimum temperature near 18–19°C in Milan on September 13 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and moderate radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the Po Valley, where urban heat retention and dew-point depression often keep lows several degrees above rural areas. Model spread remains modest at this short range, yet small differences in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. With market-implied probabilities tightly clustered around 15–16°C and significant weight on both warmer and cooler outcomes, traders appear focused on resolving uncertainty from the final model runs and any late adjustments in steering flow or humidity before the overnight minimum is observed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$974終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and regional models points to a minimum temperature near 18–19°C in Milan on September 13 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and moderate radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the Po Valley, where urban heat retention and dew-point depression often keep lows several degrees above rural areas. Model spread remains modest at this short range, yet small differences in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. With market-implied probabilities tightly clustered around 15–16°C and significant weight on both warmer and cooler outcomes, traders appear focused on resolving uncertainty from the final model runs and any late adjustments in steering flow or humidity before the overnight minimum is observed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$974終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETForecast consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and regional models points to a minimum temperature near 18–19°C in Milan on September 13 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and moderate radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the Po Valley, where urban heat retention and dew-point depression often keep lows several degrees above rural areas. Model spread remains modest at this short range, yet small differences in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. With market-implied probabilities tightly clustered around 15–16°C and significant weight on both warmer and cooler outcomes, traders appear focused on resolving uncertainty from the final model runs and any late adjustments in steering flow or humidity before the overnight minimum is observed.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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