National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance for New York City on September 14, 2026, converge on a daytime high near 76°F at Central Park under partly to mostly sunny skies after Sunday’s rain clears, with northwest winds advecting cooler, drier air. This places the 76-77°F bin as the market leader at 54.5% implied probability, ahead of the 78-79°F range at 24.5%. Historical mid-September normals hover in the low-to-mid 70s, but recent guidance shows limited upward bias from residual moisture or urban heat effects. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for any late-day warming against the high likelihood of the official reading falling in the mid-70s, with final resolution tied to verified observations rather than models.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
9月14日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
76～77°F 55%
78～79°F 25%
74〜75°F 14%
72～73°F 4%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
65°F以下
<1%
66～67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70～71°F
2%
72～73°F
4%
74〜75°F
14%
76～77°F
55%
78～79°F
25%
80〜81°F
3%
82～83°F
2%
84°F以上
1%
76～77°F 55%
78～79°F 25%
74〜75°F 14%
72～73°F 4%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
65°F以下
$246 Vol.
<1%
66～67°F
$228 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
1%
70～71°F
$174 Vol.
2%
72～73°F
$203 Vol.
4%
74〜75°F
$978 Vol.
14%
76～77°F
$1,096 Vol.
55%
78～79°F
$2,613 Vol.
25%
80〜81°F
$256 Vol.
3%
82～83°F
$180 Vol.
2%
84°F以上
$158 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance for New York City on September 14, 2026, converge on a daytime high near 76°F at Central Park under partly to mostly sunny skies after Sunday’s rain clears, with northwest winds advecting cooler, drier air. This places the 76-77°F bin as the market leader at 54.5% implied probability, ahead of the 78-79°F range at 24.5%. Historical mid-September normals hover in the low-to-mid 70s, but recent guidance shows limited upward bias from residual moisture or urban heat effects. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for any late-day warming against the high likelihood of the official reading falling in the mid-70s, with final resolution tied to verified observations rather than models.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 12, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
音量
$6,132終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 3:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance for New York City on September 14, 2026, converge on a daytime high near 76°F at Central Park under partly to mostly sunny skies after Sunday’s rain clears, with northwest winds advecting cooler, drier air. This places the 76-77°F bin as the market leader at 54.5% implied probability, ahead of the 78-79°F range at 24.5%. Historical mid-September normals hover in the low-to-mid 70s, but recent guidance shows limited upward bias from residual moisture or urban heat effects. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for any late-day warming against the high likelihood of the official reading falling in the mid-70s, with final resolution tied to verified observations rather than models.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$6,132終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 3:55 AM ETNational Weather Service forecasts and model guidance for New York City on September 14, 2026, converge on a daytime high near 76°F at Central Park under partly to mostly sunny skies after Sunday’s rain clears, with northwest winds advecting cooler, drier air. This places the 76-77°F bin as the market leader at 54.5% implied probability, ahead of the 78-79°F range at 24.5%. Historical mid-September normals hover in the low-to-mid 70s, but recent guidance shows limited upward bias from residual moisture or urban heat effects. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for any late-day warming against the high likelihood of the official reading falling in the mid-70s, with final resolution tied to verified observations rather than models.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問